NFL Draft Prospect Breakdown: Josh Rosen

Other Breakdowns

Quenton Nelson – 93/100
Saquon Barkley
 – 92/100
Tremaine Edmunds – 89/100
Bradley Chubb – 89/100
Derwin James – 88/100
Roquan Smith – 87/100
Minkah Fitzpatrick – 87/100
Harold Landry – 85/100
Rashaan Evans – 84/100
Will Hernandez – 84/100
Baker Mayfield – 84/100
Sam Darnold – 83/100
Lamar Jackson – 82/100
Marcus Davenport – 82/100
Calvin Ridley – 81/100
Josh Allen – 77/100
Leighton Vander Esch – 77/100

Stats, Awards, and Accolades

rosen

Class: Junior
Height: 6’4″
Weight: 226 lbs
Awards & Accolades: Second-team All-Pac-12 (2017), Freshman All-American (2015), Pac-12 Freshman Offensive POY (2015), USA Today High School All-American (2014)

I criticized Darnold and Allen for their interception numbers, so it is only fair I criticize Rosen as well. The junior held a 2.3-1 ratio in his three years at UCLA, and in just the tape I watched there were multiple additional throws that really should have been interceptions. On the positive side of things, despite playing just two and a half seasons, his career passing yards mark of 9,340 cracks into the top 25 in the history of the Pac-12 conference, and his total yards per play (7.2) ranks 9th.

For this breakdown, I rewatched three of Rosen’s games. First, the famous week one comeback against Texas A&M, second, UCLA’s upset loss to Memphis, and finally, the crosstown primetime rivalry game against USC and Sam Darnold. These defenses ranked 71st, 102nd, and 55th in Bill Connely’s defensive rankings for the 2017 season, so keep in mind that when I criticize Rosen’s reads, he isn’t playing against Alabama.

Pros

Throws on the run
High football IQ
Great ball placement
Good footwork
Insane accuracy
Fits balls into tight windows
Tight spiral

Cons

Injury prone
Not as fast as other QB’s
Not as much arm power as other QB’s
Can sometimes get caught on first read
Struggles with pressure
Could clash with certain media figures

Grades

Short/Intermediate Accuracy – 10/10
Field Vision – 8.5/10
Footwork – 9.5/10
Decision-Making – 7/10
Under Pressure – 6.5/10
Deep Accuracy – 7.5/10
Arm Strength – 8.5/10
Mobility – 6.5/10

Scheme Fits

West Coast – 10/10
Vertical – 8.5/10
Spread – 6.5/10

Overall Grade: 83/100

reminder, this where I think he should go, not where he will go, these rankings also DO NOT take into account positional importance

90+ Superstar
85+ Elite Player (Top Ten)
80+ First Round Talent
77+ Second Round Talent
74+ Third Round Talent
66+ Third Day Talent (Rounds 4-7)

10/10 Rating – Best in the class or close to it
7.5/10 Rating – Average
5/10 Rating – Poor

Coming into this process, I was expecting Josh Rosen to be my #1 quarterback, but after rewatching some of his games this season, I’m not so sure about that. Given, the gap between him and Baker Mayfield is very small, but it still exists. Rosen is the most accurate passer in this draft, which might make him the most NFL ready right now, but to me, he should be behind Baker. Rosen’s touchdown-interception ratio of 2.3-1 is almost half of Mayfield’s mark (4.4-1), and watching just three games, I saw multiple occasions where Rosen threw a ball that probably would have been an interception at the NFL level. Rosen is a really good quarterback for UCLA’s offense, where they ran lots of flats and slants, but I’m not sure if Rosen is ready to take the step towards an NFL level playbook, because you don’t have to be a quarterback expert to notice him occasionally get hung up on his first read and see him trying to force the ball to someone he shouldn’t. Even the most accurate passer in the class is going to throw interceptions doing that, which is exactly what happened.

I do mean it when I say Rosen is the most accurate passer in this class, but I also mean it when I say that because of his problems reading defenses, he often plays a little bit too aggressive and tries to fit the ball into places that just aren’t possible. Rosen is a really good quarterback, and decision making is a thing that will improve with NFL coaching. A grade of 83 means I would have him around mid-first round, although because of positional importance I would be shocked if he fell out of the top six.

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