CSD College Football Computer Rankings Week 3 – Oklahoma up to #4

FAQ 

Q: Why is Miami still top 15 when they got killed?
A: The model is specifically built to be resistant to one bad game, if the trend continues, the ‘Canes will fall further.

Q: Do FBS vs FCS games affect the model
A: NO, as you can see, Florida State is still in the top 35. If you are wondering why, it is really hard to model for the variance in opponent quality in the FCS. This is something that S&P+ does, but you get things like Auburn moving down 11 spots despite beating Alabama State 63-9.

Q: How is Michigan ahead of Notre Dame?
A: This model is PREDICTIVE, NOT BACKWARDS LOOKING. After almost losing to Ball State, the Fighting Irish fell back in my rankings while Michigan stayed about where they were. If it makes you feel better, pretty much every other college football computer model also has Michigan ahead of the Irish (e.g. S&P+, Sagarin, etc…)

Rank Team Conference Rating
1 Alabama SEC 56.96165322
2 Ohio State Big Ten 55.62745347
3 Georgia SEC 52.60289966
4 Oklahoma Big 12 49.76816116
5 Clemson ACC 48.57248375
6 Auburn SEC 48.03730783
7 Washington Pac-12 47.67615278
8 Wisconsin Big Ten 47.14817896
9 Penn State Big Ten 45.92179461
10 Michigan Big Ten 45.13907213
11 Stanford Pac-12 43.96070297
12 Mississippi State SEC 43.90732163
13 Notre Dame Ind 43.38960282
14 Louisiana State SEC 42.57086462
15 Texas Christian Big 12 42.46750841
16 Virginia Tech ACC 42.44935576
17 Miami (FL) ACC 42.02972204
18 Texas A&M SEC 41.27535295
19 Southern California Pac-12 41.02829304
20 Boise State MWC 40.68319408
21 Central Florida AAC 39.61263343
22 Oklahoma State Big 12 39.29179155
23 Michigan State Big Ten 38.78202081
24 Iowa Big Ten 38.43654547
25 West Virginia Big 12 37.89631073
26 South Carolina SEC 37.62744605
27 Oregon Pac-12 37.4396685
28 Utah Pac-12 37.35106617
29 Missouri SEC 37.28295854
30 Maryland Big Ten 36.86238446
31 Washington State Pac-12 36.76696738
32 Kentucky SEC 35.99953158
33 Florida State ACC 35.78831388
34 Duke ACC 35.37753553
35 Georgia Tech ACC 35.06044513
36 Louisville ACC 35.05926087
37 Arizona State Pac-12 34.91622522
38 North Carolina State ACC 34.72071542
39 Memphis AAC 34.48287144
40 Mississippi SEC 34.19513628
41 Florida Atlantic CUSA 34.11453574
42 Boston College ACC 33.65869009
43 Appalachian State Sun Belt 33.55471981
44 Fresno State MWC 33.18281201
45 Texas Big 12 33.14729734
46 Northwestern Big Ten 33.07157679
47 California Pac-12 32.78526124
48 Wake Forest ACC 32.76904742
49 Toledo MAC 32.0162414
50 Houston AAC 31.6996921
51 Iowa State Big 12 31.64349949
52 Cincinnati AAC 31.45815819
53 Nebraska Big Ten 31.24230488
54 UCLA Pac-12 30.93813722
55 Arkansas State Sun Belt 30.80012149
56 Ohio MAC 30.74058809
57 Vanderbilt SEC 30.61167828
58 Indiana Big Ten 30.37934586
59 San Diego State MWC 30.23387474
60 Florida SEC 30.00665671
61 Purdue Big Ten 29.72524527
62 Utah State MWC 29.5321553
63 Baylor Big 12 29.519641
64 Colorado Pac-12 29.50672288
65 South Florida AAC 29.37361995
66 Arizona Pac-12 29.14535519
67 Marshall CUSA 29.06031889
68 Rutgers Big Ten 28.91186097
69 Pittsburgh ACC 28.83641969
70 Minnesota Big Ten 28.8012713
71 North Texas CUSA 28.73400148
72 Texas Tech Big 12 28.53004167
73 Kansas State Big 12 28.53002284
74 Troy Sun Belt 27.44895993
75 Kansas Big 12 27.20724699
76 Louisiana Tech CUSA 26.77379296
77 Northern Illinois MAC 26.76998925
78 Buffalo MAC 26.63432997
79 Arkansas SEC 26.39711223
80 Tulsa AAC 26.08949991
81 Syracuse ACC 26.02366422
82 Tennessee SEC 25.97834586
83 Virginia ACC 25.59534086
84 Georgia Southern Sun Belt 25.34477066
85 Army Ind 25.04231806
86 Tulane AAC 25.02055401
87 Nevada-Las Vegas MWC 24.96243013
88 Eastern Michigan MAC 24.48332394
89 Wyoming MWC 24.41559807
90 Brigham Young Ind 24.24354467
91 North Carolina ACC 24.18094084
92 Middle Tennessee State CUSA 24.16049578
93 Western Michigan MAC 23.97999919
94 Illinois Big Ten 23.61905624
95 Navy AAC 23.54171173
96 Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt 23.18482754
97 Western Kentucky CUSA 22.84903499
98 Oregon State Pac-12 22.76497134
99 Alabama-Birmingham CUSA 22.71141938
100 Colorado State MWC 22.6711477
101 Hawaii MWC 22.59759756
102 New Mexico MWC 22.54057506
103 Temple AAC 22.51007188
104 East Carolina AAC 22.23974061
105 Southern Mississippi CUSA 22.23400955
106 Ball State MAC 22.14476749
107 Southern Methodist AAC 21.7310343
108 Miami (OH) MAC 21.51808649
109 Air Force MWC 20.80508671
110 Bowling Green State MAC 20.65606388
111 South Alabama Sun Belt 20.40954762
112 Georgia State Sun Belt 20.22394752
113 Louisiana Sun Belt 20.04878736
114 Nevada MWC 19.88087126
115 Liberty Ind 19.4414037
116 Florida International CUSA 19.06349632
117 Massachusetts Ind 18.934291
118 Akron MAC 18.30529994
119 Texas-San Antonio CUSA 16.77823644
120 Connecticut AAC 16.60319596
121 Central Michigan MAC 16.35430429
122 Rice CUSA 16.29911569
123 Old Dominion CUSA 16.01178861
124 Kent State MAC 15.73298349
125 Charlotte CUSA 15.04955988
126 Texas State Sun Belt 14.7888318
127 San Jose State MWC 13.83305768
128 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt 13.33298046
129 New Mexico State Ind 13.22231318
130 Texas-El Paso CUSA 11.46892059

One Comment

  1. lester j berlin

    September 10, 2018 at 3:16 pm

    Your explanations are a nice touch.

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