#9-iowa-logo#9 Iowa
#3-michigan-logo#3 Michigan
7:00 pm, February 25
#19-usc-logo#19 USC
colorado-logoColorado
9:00 pm, February 25
#14-texas-logo#14 Texas
#18-texas-tech-logo#18 Texas Tech
12:00 pm, February 27
#3-michigan-logo#3 Michigan
indiana-logoIndiana
12:00 pm, February 27
#5-illinois-logo#5 Illinois
#23-wisconsin-logo#23 Wisconsin
2:00 pm, February 27
lsu-logoLSU
#20-arkansas-logo#20 Arkansas
2:00 pm, February 27
#11-florida-state-logo#11 Florida State
north-carolina-logoNorth Carolina
4:00 pm, February 27
#2-baylor-logo#2 Baylor
#17-kansas-logo#17 Kansas
8:00 pm, February 27
#9-iowa-logo#9 Iowa
#4-ohio-state-logo#4 Ohio State
4:00 pm, February 28
#17-kansas-logo#17 Kansas72
#14-texas-logo#14 Texas75
FINAL
#6-alabama-logo#6 Alabama66
#20-arkansas-logo#20 Arkansas81
FINAL
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CSD Prime College Basketball Computer Model Rankings – USC Takes Pac-12 Lead

The Pac-12 has faded into the background of the college basketball sphere in 2021. An announcement by the conference that they would not play non-conference games, which was then later reversed, left teams struggling to fill their schedules, leading to a lack of blockbuster games featuring the teams out west.

Over the course of the season, though, we have watched as many different schools have gotten their turn as the conference’s darling. It was Oregon to start the year, then people noticed the raw talent on Stanford, Colorado got a turn, and most recently UCLA, but one team has emerged from the pack recently: Andy Enfield’s USC Trojans. The team, led by future NBA star Evan Mobley, holds a 10-1 record since the calendar flipped to 2021, the lone loss being a fluky one-possession defeat in Corvallis.

On Saturday, USC cemented itself as what many of us already knew them to be: the best team in the Pac-12. The Trojans dominated a ranked UCLA team from tip to buzzer en route to a 66-48 victory, holding their cross-town rivals to the fewest points the Bruins had scored all season. The win pushed USC to a 9-2 record in conference play, leaving them tied with UCLA atop the conference, but thanks to the head-to-head victory, the Trojans now control their own destiny to a Pac-12 crown, a feat they have not achieved since 1985, when they shared the title with Washington, back when the conference was still known as the Pac-10. Were the Trojans to be able to win an outright title, it would be the first since 1961, when the conference was known as the Athletic Association of Western Universities and consisted of just five schools.

A reminder, as always, these rankings DO NOT reflect a team’s resume. They are solely used to measure a team’s strength in the sense Vegas would to set lines. Thus, team talent remains an important variable throughout the season. Additionally, recent games are weighted more heavily, and if you are lucky or don’t look good in a win, you may fall, while if you look good or are unlucky in a loss, you may rise. Let’s get into it.

RankNameConfRecordchange
1BaylorBig 12  17-01
2Gonzaga          WCC  18-0-1
3Michigan         Big Ten  13-10
4Illinois         Big Ten  13-52
5IowaBig Ten  13-6-1
6Houston          AAC  16-2-1
7Villanova        Big East  12-20
8Tennessee        SEC  13-40
9Alabama          SEC  15-52
10Virginia         ACC  13-33
11Ohio State         Big Ten  15-43
12Texas Tech       Big 12  14-5-3
13Wisconsin        Big Ten  14-6-3
14TexasBig 12  11-5-2
15West Virginia    Big 12  13-54
16Florida State      ACC  10-32
17USCPac-12  15-38
18Creighton        Big East  14-5-3
19KansasBig 12  12-7-3
20Oklahoma         Big 12  12-5-3
21Colorado         Pac-12  14-50
22Arkansas         SEC  14-54
23Rutgers          Big Ten  11-6-1
24PurdueBig Ten  13-7-4
25Indiana          Big Ten  10-82
26Loyola-Chicago   Missouri Valley  17-3-2
27Missouri         SEC  13-37
28San Diego State    Mountain West  13-45
29Louisville       ACC  11-410
30North Carolina   ACC  12-60
31Florida          SEC  10-5-8
32UCLAPac-12  13-4-3
33Oklahoma State     Big 12  12-52
34DukeACC   7-7-6
35Arizona          Pac-12  13-6-3
36Virginia Tech    ACC  14-4-5
37LSUSEC  11-61
38Seton Hall       Big East  11-817
39Penn State         Big Ten   7-82
40BYUWCC  15-47
41OregonPac-12  10-4-5
42Saint LouisA10   8-3-5
43Clemson          ACC  12-511
44Minnesota        Big Ten  11-7-2
45XavierBig East  11-2-2
46Memphis          AAC  12-67
47Maryland         Big Ten  10-9-3
48Connecticut      Big East   8-4-8
49SMUAAC  10-48
50Michigan StateBig Ten   9-7-1
51Utah State         Mountain West  14-57
52Richmond         A10  10-4-1
53St BonaventureA10   9-2-7
54Stanford         Pac-12  12-72
55Syracuse         ACC  10-6-10
56Ole MissSEC  10-86
57Kentucky         SEC  5-12-5
58VCUA10  13-43
59Georgia Tech     ACC   9-60
60Boise State        Mountain West  14-4-12
61AuburnSEC 10-10-1
62DrakeMissouri Valley  18-1-12
63Mississippi State  SEC  11-92
64UtahPac-12   8-77
65Davidson         A10  10-5-1
66Notre Dame       ACC  7-103
67North Carolina StateACC   8-70
68St John’s        Big East  13-711
69Marquette        Big East  9-10-3
70Northwestern     Big Ten  6-102
71Colorado State     Mountain West  14-4-1
72Marshall         Conference USA  10-56
73Western KentuckyConference USA  13-40
74Wichita State      AAC  11-4-6
75Wright State       Horizon  15-49
76Providence       Big East  9-10-13
77Belmont          OVC  20-113
78Arizona State      Pac-12   6-8-3
79St Mary’sWCC  11-5-2
80Pittsburgh       ACC   9-68
81ToledoMAC  16-5-7
82Cincinnati       AAC   5-7-1
83South Carolina   SEC   5-7-1
84DaytonA10  11-5-4
85Rhode Island     A10  9-11-9
86TCUBig 12  10-7-1
87FurmanSouthern  11-6-4
88Colgate          Patriot   7-1-1
89San Francisco    WCC  10-80
90Georgia          SEC  12-62
91UABConference USA  16-23
92North Texas      Conference USA  10-61
93UC Santa Barbara Big West  12-3-2
94TulsaAAC   9-8-8
95ButlerBig East  6-101
96UCFAAC   5-9-1
97UNC Greensboro   Southern  13-50
98Louisiana Tech   Conference USA  15-64
99Georgetown       Big East   5-914
100Massachusetts    A10   7-47
101South Florida    AAC   7-5-2
102Abilene ChristianSouthland  15-34
103NevadaMountain West  14-714
104Texas A&M        SEC   8-7-3
105Buffalo          MAC   8-620
106Winthrop         Big South  16-1-3
107Liberty          ASUN  15-5-2
108Washington State   Pac-12  11-87
109South Dakota StateSummit  11-4-11
110Miami FL         ACC  7-110
111AkronMAC  11-43
112Kent StateMAC  10-5-12
113Oregon State       Pac-12  10-77
114Duquesne         A10   7-6-2
115Wofford          Southern  12-6-4
116Georgia State      Sun Belt   8-4-8
117OhioMAC  11-65
118UC Irvine        Big West  10-60
119Grand Canyon     WAC  12-35
120Boston College   ACC  3-11-16
121Wake ForestACC   5-8-12
122Pepperdine       WCC   8-84
123Vermont          AEC   7-3-2
124Missouri State     Missouri Valley  11-5-8
125DePaulBig East   3-8-6
126Bradley          Missouri Valley 10-11-3
127Loyola MarymountWCC   8-61
128Nebraska         Big Ten   4-9-1
129TempleAAC   4-71
130East CarolinaAAC   8-712
131Indiana State      Missouri Valley  11-8-2
132Pacific          WCC   5-51
133East Tennessee StateSouthern  11-7-1
134Vanderbilt       SEC   5-9-3
135SienaMAAC   8-20
136California       Pac-12  7-140
137UC Riverside     Big West   8-43
138MercerSouthern  10-7-4
139UNLVMountain West   7-9-1
140Santa Clara      WCC   9-43
141George Mason     A10   8-87
142Weber State        Big Sky  11-414
143Murray State       OVC   9-917
144Eastern WashingtonBig Sky   8-62
145Northern Iowa    Missouri Valley  6-12-4
146Hofstra          CAA  12-7-2
147Iowa State         Big 12  2-112
148Cal State BakersfieldBig West  12-72
149Bowling Green    MAC  10-8-12
150Northeastern     CAA   8-61
151Coastal CarolinaSun Belt  12-6-12
152Texas State        Sun Belt  13-65
153Old Dominion     Conference USA   9-5-8
154St Peter’sMAAC   9-61
155Chattanooga      Southern  14-514
156Washington       Pac-12  3-14-9
157Stephen F. AustinSouthland  11-31
158DrexelCAA   8-78
159ArmyPatriot   9-40
160MonmouthMAAC  10-52
161TulaneAAC   7-70
162NavyPatriot  11-21
163South Dakota     Summit  11-75
164BryantNEC  10-50
165Ball State         MAC   7-96
166La Salle         A10  8-117
167Arkansas Little RockSun Belt  10-9-15
168UTEPConference USA  8-10-1
169Charlotte        Conference USA   9-9-16
170New Mexico State   WAC   4-49
171James Madison    CAA  10-56
172Morehead State     OVC  15-68
173North Dakota StateSummit  11-9-3
174UMBCAEC  12-41
175Sam Houston State  Southland  14-6-1
176Eastern KentuckyOVC  14-4-22
177Louisiana        Sun Belt  13-6-12
178Wyoming          Mountain West  10-95
179UTSAConference USA  10-921
180Southern IllinoisMissouri Valley   9-7-4
181Oral Roberts     Summit  10-80
182Kansas State       Big 12  5-15-10
183Cleveland State    Horizon  14-57
184Austin Peay      OVC  11-714
185Appalachian State  Sun Belt  12-7-7
186Bellarmine       ASUN  11-58
187Jacksonville State OVC  12-75
188IonaMAAC   5-3-4
189VMISouthern  10-97
190HawaiiBig West   7-5-2
191Detroit          Horizon   8-84
192Fresno State       Mountain West   7-7-6
193Florida AtlanticConference USA   8-7-11
194RiceConference USA  12-816
195Southern Utah    Big Sky  12-3-4
196Miami OH         MAC   8-7-11
197South Alabama    Sun Belt  11-82
198Montana State      Big Sky   9-5-11
199Montana          Big Sky   8-9-10
200Lipscomb         ASUN  12-98
201Nicholls State     Southland  10-6-8
202Radford          Big South  13-710
203College of CharlestonCAA   7-8-2
204UT Arlington     Sun Belt  11-9-7
205Valparaiso       Missouri Valley  7-124
206UNC Wilmington   CAA   7-80
207Northern KentuckyHorizon  11-822
208Delaware         CAA   7-7-4
209UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC   8-4-4
210Prairie View A&MSWAC   7-48
211George WashingtonA10   3-90
212Evansville       Missouri Valley  8-1015
213Gardner Webb     Big South  8-113
214UNC Asheville    Big South  10-93
215San Diego        WCC   2-7-2
216UC Davis         Big West   4-66
217Western CarolinaSouthern  8-11-14
218Lafayette        Patriot   5-4-11
219Texas SouthernSWAC   6-725
220AlbanyAEC   4-64
221Georgia SouthernSun Belt  12-9-2
222Oakland          Horizon  8-15-7
223Samford          Southern   6-80
224Saint Joseph’sA10  1-14-4
225Mt St Mary’s     NEC   6-7-4
226Niagara          MAAC   7-92
227LIU Brooklyn     NEC   6-5-25
228Bucknell         Patriot   4-4-3
229Hartford         AEC  10-71
230Canisius         MAAC   3-35
231Northern ColoradoBig Sky   8-80
232Missouri Kansas CitySummit  7-101
233Morgan State       MEAC  11-48
234American UniversityPatriot   2-221
235Utah Valley      WAC   6-713
236Stetson          ASUN  7-103
237Sacremento StateBig Sky   6-51
238Boston UniversityPatriot   3-52
239Youngstown State   Horizon 10-1015
240Illinois State     Missouri Valley  5-14-14
241Norfolk State      MEAC  10-68
242UC San Diego     Big West   4-58
243Illinois ChicagoHorizon   8-9-11
244NJITAEC   6-81
245Stony Brook      AEC   8-9-9
246FIUConference USA  9-12-32
247William & Mary   CAA   6-70
248Loyola MarylandPatriot   1-528
249Florida Gulf CoastASUN   9-621
250Southern Miss    Conference USA  7-12-8
251WagnerNEC   4-55
252Massachusetts LowellAEC   7-9-6
253Citadel          Southern  10-76
254Cal BaptistWAC   9-6-1
255Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorizon   7-8-21
256Middle Tennessee StateConference USA  5-1118
257New Hampshire    AEC   9-83
258TowsonCAA  3-12-7
259New Mexico       Mountain West  5-11-1
260TroySun Belt 10-10-17
261Quinnipiac       MAAC   5-68
262Farleigh DickinsonNEC   7-918
263Fordham          A10   2-920
264Arkansas State     Sun Belt   8-918
265Seattle          WAC   8-7-1
266Wisconsin Green BayHorizon  6-14-4
267Merrimack        NEC   6-40
268North Carolina CentralMEAC   4-3-31
269High Point       Big South   7-93
270MaristMAAC   9-7-4
271ElonCAA   3-6-14
272Cal State FullertonBig West   5-6-4
273Western MichiganMAC  4-1121
274Portland State     Big Sky   5-97
275St Francis PANEC  5-12-12
276Central MichiganMAC  6-12-15
277Campbell         Big South  10-90
278Eastern MichiganMAC   4-80
279North Alabama    ASUN  10-6-27
280Eastern IllinoisOVC  7-1410
281St Francis NY    NEC   4-6-16
282Idaho State        Big Sky   9-77
283Cal State NorthridgeBig West   7-81
284Longwood         Big South  6-147
285Long Beach State   Big West   3-53
286Robert Morris    Horizon  3-11-15
287Manhattan        MAAC   5-89
288North Florida    ASUN  7-11-3
289Purdue Fort WayneHorizon  6-11-16
290Jackson State      SWAC   5-57
291Sacred Heart     NEC   6-61
292Southern University    SWAC   4-7-17
293RiderMAAC  4-112
294Air Force        Mountain West  4-13-1
295South East Missouri StateOVC  7-12-9
296North Carolina A&TMEAC   8-93
297Tarleton State     WAC   5-81
298Florida A&M      MEAC   2-85
299IUPUIHorizon   5-83
300Nebraska OmahaSummit  2-16-13
301Louisiana MonroeSun Belt  4-155
302SIU EdwardsvilleOVC   7-9-23
303North Dakota     Summit  6-15-3
304Alabama A&M      SWAC   5-20
305Western IllinoisSummit  5-1216
306Tennessee State    OVC  3-144
307LehighPatriot   3-7-2
308Jacksonville     ASUN  9-11-7
309Northern IllinoisMAC  2-103
310Grambling        SWAC   8-87
311Hampton          Big South   7-9-3
312Central Conn     NEC  4-101
313Northwestern LouisianaSouthland  5-146
314Coppin State       MEAC  6-12-3
315Central Arkansas    Southland  3-14-6
316Northern Arizona Big Sky  5-110
317Portland         WCC  6-12-10
318San Jose State     Mountain West  5-115
319Holy Cross       Patriot   2-8-4
320New Orleans      Southland  4-122
321HowardMEAC   1-43
322Tennessee Tech   OVC  2-183
323South Carolina UpstateBig South  3-13-9
324Fairfield        MAAC  3-13-6
325LamarSouthland  4-13-5
326Southeastern LouisianaSouthland  6-110
327Presbyterian     Big South  5-110
328MaineAEC   2-71
329Dixie State        WAC   6-9-1
330Incarnate Word   Southland   8-85
331Houston BaptistSouthland  3-120
332Binghamton       AEC  2-131
333McNeese State      Southland  8-105
334Texas A&M Corpus ChristiSouthland  3-12-4
335Cal Poly         Big West  3-13-3
336Charleston Southern   Big South  1-15-2
337Tennessee MartinOVC  6-110
338DenverSummit  2-13-2
339Kennesaw StateASUN  3-151
340Alcorn State       SWAC   3-8-1
341IdahoBig Sky  0-151
342Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC  3-15-1
343Alabama State      SWAC   3-70
344Delaware State     MEAC  1-120
345South Carolina StateMEAC  0-150
346Chicago State      WAC   0-90
347Mississippi Valley State    SWAC  0-160
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