#1 – Alabama (4-0) — No Change
#2 – Clemson (4-0) — Up 2
#2-4 were always really close, and Clemson went on the road and destroyed Georgia Tech, so they move up a couple spots.
#3 – Ohio State (4-0) — Down 1
#4 – Georgia (4-0) — Down 1
#5 – Oklahoma (4-0) — No Change
Army took OU to overtime this week, but if you look at the stats from the game, the Sooners really were controlling the game from start to finish, so they don’t fall.
#6 – Penn State (4-0) — Up 1
I don’t know about this one, Illinois kept it close for a while against the Nittany Lions. We will see if they are for real this Saturday against #3 Ohio State
#7 – Washington (3-1) — No Change
It was closer than expected, but the Huskies took care of business against Arizona State this weekend, and they don’t move at all in the model.
#8 – Michigan (3-1) — Up 1
The Wolverines have looked really good for the past three weeks, but we will probably have to wait till October to truly know if they are for real.
#9 – LSU (4-0) — Down 3
Louisiana Tech had this game within three points late, and Auburn didn’t look great against Arkansas, so the Tigers drop a few spots.
#10 – Notre Dame (4-0) — Up 15
If you’ve been following along, my model (and computer rankings in general) have kind of hated Notre Dame so far this year after they struggled with Ball State and Vanderbilt, and Brian Kelly noticed it too, and decided to make a change at quarterback, and boy did it pay off. The Fighting Irish smacked Wake Forest and are back into the top ten.
#11 – Miami (3-1) — Up 7
I’m not 100% sure why Miami moved up seven spots in the model this week,but teams like Stanford and Auburn slightly underperformed while teams like TCU, Mississippi State, and Virginia Tech lost so that is probably the main reason.
#12 – Auburn (3-1) — No Change
Auburn beat Arkansas, but they actually were outgained (Arkansas averaged 4.1 YPP, Auburn 3.9)
#13 – Wisconsin (3-1) — Up 2
Good win over Iowa on the road this week for Wiscy, they move up a couple spots and have essentially clinched the Big Ten West at this point.
#14 – Stanford (4-0) — No Change
Stanford did not look like the better team on Saturday, but the model read the game as a tossup, and it was pretty much supposed to be a tossup so they stay where they were.
#15 – South Carolina (2-1) — NEW
The Gamecocks absolutely destroyed Vanderbilt on the road on Saturday and they move from unranked to 15th.
#16 – TCU (2-2) — Down 6
This is still a good team, both of their losses were away from home against top 25 teams, I’m still confident in Gary Patterson and the Horned Frogs.
#17 – Michigan State (2-1) — NEW
The Spartans got a road win over Indiana on Saturday and the rejoin the top 25.
#18 – UCF (3-0) — Up 1
Big win over Florida Atlantic Friday night rises the Knights up one spot.
#19 – Washington State (3-1) — Up 2
The Cougars were expected to lose to USC by about 3 points, and they lost to USC by three points, while numerous other teams underperformed expectations. The Cougs actually move up.
#20 – Virginia Tech (2-1) — Down 7
Really tough loss for the Hokies @ Old Dominion, we will see if they can bounce back this week against Duke.
#21 – Texas (3-1) — NEW
Texas is back into the top 25 after a win over a TCU team I was pretty high on.
#22 – West Virginia (3-0) — NEW
The computer was pretty low on West Virginia to start the year, and they haven’t really done anything of not yet, but by way of just performing up to expectations, they move into the top 25.
#23 – Boise State (2-1) — Down 3
Boise’s one loss got crushed so it indirectly brings the Broncos down too.
#24 – Kentucky (4-0) — No Change
The Wildcats picked up a big win and because they were already ranked in the model actually experience no change.
#25 – Texas A&M (2-2) — Down 8
The Aggies’ only losses are to my #1 and #2 teams, so they stay ranked despite the two in the loss column.
Teams within one point of Top 25: Oregon, Florida, Iowa, USC, NC State
FULL 1-130 RANKINGS BELOW
|3||Ohio State||Big Ten|
|6||Penn State||Big Ten|
|16||Texas Christian||Big 12|
|17||Michigan State||Big Ten|
|22||West Virginia||Big 12|
|30||North Carolina State||ACC|
|35||Texas Tech||Big 12|
|36||Iowa State||Big 12|
|40||Oklahoma State||Big 12|
|51||Appalachian State||Sun Belt|
|54||Kansas State||Big 12|
|59||Arkansas State||Sun Belt|
|65||San Diego State||MWC|
|98||Middle Tennessee State||CUSA|
|103||Georgia Southern||Sun Belt|
|105||South Alabama||Sun Belt|
|113||Bowling Green State||MAC|
|114||Texas State||Sun Belt|
|119||Georgia State||Sun Belt|
|122||Coastal Carolina||Sun Belt|
|124||San Jose State||MWC|
|127||New Mexico State||Ind|