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CSD College Football Computer Rankings Pre-Week 5 – Notre Dame doesn’t suck!

#1 – Alabama (4-0) — No Change

Duh

#2 – Clemson (4-0) — Up 2

#2-4 were always really close, and Clemson went on the road and destroyed Georgia Tech, so they move up a couple spots.

#3 – Ohio State (4-0) — Down 1

See Above

#4 – Georgia (4-0) — Down 1

See Above

#5 – Oklahoma (4-0) — No Change

Army took OU to overtime this week, but if you look at the stats from the game, the Sooners really were controlling the game from start to finish, so they don’t fall.

#6 – Penn State (4-0) — Up 1

I don’t know about this one, Illinois kept it close for a while against the Nittany Lions. We will see if they are for real this Saturday against #3 Ohio State

#7 – Washington (3-1) — No Change

It was closer than expected, but the Huskies took care of business against Arizona State this weekend, and they don’t move at all in the model.

#8 – Michigan (3-1) — Up 1

The Wolverines have looked really good for the past three weeks, but we will probably have to wait till October to truly know if they are for real.

#9 – LSU (4-0) — Down 3

Louisiana Tech had this game within three points late, and Auburn didn’t look great against Arkansas, so the Tigers drop a few spots.

#10 – Notre Dame (4-0) — Up 15

If you’ve been following along, my model (and computer rankings in general) have kind of hated Notre Dame so far this year after they struggled with Ball State and Vanderbilt, and Brian Kelly noticed it too, and decided to make a change at quarterback, and boy did it pay off. The Fighting Irish smacked Wake Forest and are back into the top ten.

#11 – Miami (3-1) — Up 7

I’m not 100% sure why Miami moved up seven spots in the model this week,but teams like Stanford and Auburn slightly underperformed while teams like TCU, Mississippi State, and Virginia Tech lost so that is probably the main reason.

#12 – Auburn (3-1) — No Change

Auburn beat Arkansas, but they actually were outgained (Arkansas averaged 4.1 YPP, Auburn 3.9)

#13 – Wisconsin (3-1) — Up 2

Good win over Iowa on the road this week for Wiscy, they move up a couple spots and have essentially clinched the Big Ten West at this point.

#14 – Stanford (4-0) — No Change

Stanford did not look like the better team on Saturday, but the model read the game as a tossup, and it was pretty much supposed to be a tossup so they stay where they were.

#15 – South Carolina (2-1) — NEW

The Gamecocks absolutely destroyed Vanderbilt on the road on Saturday and they move from unranked to 15th.

#16 – TCU (2-2) — Down 6

This is still a good team, both of their losses were away from home against top 25 teams, I’m still confident in Gary Patterson and the Horned Frogs.

#17 – Michigan State (2-1) — NEW

The Spartans got a road win over Indiana on Saturday and the rejoin the top 25.

#18 – UCF (3-0) — Up 1

Big win over Florida Atlantic Friday night rises the Knights up one spot.

#19 – Washington State (3-1) — Up 2

The Cougars were expected to lose to USC by about 3 points, and they lost to USC by three points, while numerous other teams underperformed expectations. The Cougs actually move up.

#20 – Virginia Tech (2-1) — Down 7

Really tough loss for the Hokies @ Old Dominion, we will see if they can bounce back this week against Duke.

#21 – Texas (3-1) — NEW

Texas is back into the top 25 after a win over a TCU team I was pretty high on.

#22 – West Virginia (3-0) — NEW

The computer was pretty low on West Virginia to start the year, and they haven’t really done anything of not yet, but by way of just performing up to expectations, they move into the top 25.

#23 – Boise State (2-1) — Down 3

Boise’s one loss got crushed so it indirectly brings the Broncos down too.

#24 – Kentucky (4-0) — No Change

The Wildcats picked up a big win and because they were already ranked in the model actually experience no change.

#25 – Texas A&M (2-2) — Down 8

The Aggies’ only losses are to my #1 and #2 teams, so they stay ranked despite the two in the loss column.

Teams within one point of Top 25: Oregon, Florida, Iowa, USC, NC State

FULL 1-130 RANKINGS BELOW

Rank Team Conf
1 Alabama SEC
2 Clemson ACC
3 Ohio State Big Ten
4 Georgia SEC
5 Oklahoma Big 12
6 Penn State Big Ten
7 Washington Pac-12
8 Michigan Big Ten
9 Louisiana State SEC
10 Notre Dame Ind
11 Miami (FL) ACC
12 Auburn SEC
13 Wisconsin Big Ten
14 Stanford Pac-12
15 South Carolina SEC
16 Texas Christian Big 12
17 Michigan State Big Ten
18 Central Florida AAC
19 Washington State Pac-12
20 Virginia Tech ACC
21 Texas Big 12
22 West Virginia Big 12
23 Boise State MWC
24 Kentucky SEC
25 Texas A&M SEC
26 Oregon Pac-12
27 Florida SEC
28 Iowa Big Ten
29 Southern California Pac-12
30 North Carolina State ACC
31 Florida Atlantic CUSA
32 Utah Pac-12
33 Purdue Big Ten
34 Missouri SEC
35 Texas Tech Big 12
36 Iowa State Big 12
37 Virginia ACC
38 Mississippi State SEC
39 North Texas CUSA
40 Oklahoma State Big 12
41 Arizona Pac-12
42 Mississippi SEC
43 Syracuse ACC
44 Memphis AAC
45 Fresno State MWC
46 Northwestern Big Ten
47 Duke ACC
48 Arizona State Pac-12
49 Brigham Young Ind
50 Boston College ACC
51 Appalachian State Sun Belt
52 Temple AAC
53 Maryland Big Ten
54 Kansas State Big 12
55 Houston AAC
56 North Carolina ACC
57 Indiana Big Ten
58 Pittsburgh ACC
59 Arkansas State Sun Belt
60 Baylor Big 12
61 Florida State ACC
62 Louisiana Tech CUSA
63 Colorado Pac-12
64 Buffalo MAC
65 San Diego State MWC
66 California Pac-12
67 UCLA Pac-12
68 Wake Forest ACC
69 South Florida AAC
70 Vanderbilt SEC
71 Georgia Tech ACC
72 Toledo MAC
73 Tulsa AAC
74 Utah State MWC
75 Nebraska Big Ten
76 Troy Sun Belt
77 Western Michigan MAC
78 Louisville ACC
79 Ohio MAC
80 Cincinnati AAC
81 Kansas Big 12
82 Miami (OH) MAC
83 Marshall CUSA
84 Southern Mississippi CUSA
85 Hawaii MWC
86 Arkansas SEC
87 Western Kentucky CUSA
88 Eastern Michigan MAC
89 Army Ind
90 Wyoming MWC
91 Minnesota Big Ten
92 Tennessee SEC
93 Navy AAC
94 Alabama-Birmingham CUSA
95 Nevada-Las Vegas MWC
96 Tulane AAC
97 Central Michigan MAC
98 Middle Tennessee State CUSA
99 Northern Illinois MAC
100 Nevada MWC
101 Southern Methodist AAC
102 East Carolina AAC
103 Georgia Southern Sun Belt
104 Illinois Big Ten
105 South Alabama Sun Belt
106 Florida International CUSA
107 Ball State MAC
108 Akron MAC
109 Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt
110 New Mexico MWC
111 Oregon State Pac-12
112 Old Dominion CUSA
113 Bowling Green State MAC
114 Texas State Sun Belt
115 Air Force MWC
116 Massachusetts Ind
117 Colorado State MWC
118 Texas-San Antonio CUSA
119 Georgia State Sun Belt
120 Liberty Ind
121 Rutgers Big Ten
122 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt
123 Connecticut AAC
124 San Jose State MWC
125 Louisiana Sun Belt
126 Charlotte CUSA
127 New Mexico State Ind
128 Kent State MAC
129 Texas-El Paso CUSA
130 Rice CUSA

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