Now, my personal prediction articles won’t begin until the first “real” week of football season, but the CSD Rating system doesn’t require a writeup, so without further ado, let’s reveal the official predictions for what I am dubbing as “Week Zero” of the College Football Year.
*The rating system can only predict FBS vs FBS games (sorry BYU fans ;(… sorry)
Methodology: It’s pretty complicated, but it’s mainly based off of past performances, recruiting rankings, returning starters, then I rank the top 25 in each position group, and those teams get a bonus along with bonuses for coaching, and subtractions for injuries, suspensions, and much more. That spits out a rating from -35 to +35, and then it’s just a simple random number generator, using the home teams rating – the away teams rating (Then add 2.15 for home field advantage) as the mean, you use standard deviation (I use 10.5 for college football) and use a Monte Carlo simulator to simulate the result X number of times. An average result of 12 means the home team will win by 12, and -12 will mean the home team will lose by 12.
Oregon State @ Colorado State – Sat, 8/26 – 2:30PM ET, CBS Sports Network
Vegas Line: CSU -4
CSD Ratings Projection: Colorado State by 4
Hawai’i @ UMass – Sat, 8/26 – 6PM ET
Vegas Line: Umass -2.5
CSD Rating Projection: Hawai’i by 5
#19 South Florida @ San José State – Sat, 8/26 – 7:30PM ET, CBS Sports Network
Vegas Line: USF -21.5
CSD Rating Projection: USF by 27
#14Stanford @ Rice – Sat, 8/26 – 10PM ET, ESPN
Vegas Line: Stan -30.5
CSD Rating Projection: Stanford by 38