College Football Bowl Predictions, ATS Best Bets, and Games to Watch – PART TWO

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Straight Up 

Week One: 29-6 (83%)
Week Two: 29-6 (83%)
Week Three: 26-9 (74%)
Week Four: 27-8 (77%)
Week Five: 29-6 (83%)
Week Six: 27-8 (77%)
Week Seven: 26-9 (74%)
Week Eight: 26-9 (74%)
Week Nine: 23-12 (67%)
Week Ten: 22-13 (63%)
Week Eleven: 27-8 (77%)
Week Twelve: 26-9 (74%)
Week Thirteen: 25-10 (71%)
Week Fourteen: 8-3 (73%)
Army vs Navy: 1-0 (100%)
Bowl Season Part One: 5-5 (50%)
Season: 356-121 (75%)

ATS Best Bets

Week One: 3-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 200$)
Week Two: 8-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 700$)
Week Three: 6-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 500$)
Week Four: 3-5 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve lost 200$)
Week Five: 4-3 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 100$)
Week Six: 3-2 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 100$)
Week Seven: 4-2 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 200$)
Week Eight: 2-4 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve lost 200$)
Week Nine: 4-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 300$)
Week Ten: 1-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve canceled out)
Week Eleven: 2-2-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve canceled out)
Week Twelve: 2-4 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve lost 200$)
Week Thirteen: 2-2 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve canceled out)
Week Fourteen: 1-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve canceled out)
Army vs Navy: 1-0 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 100$)
Season: 45-29-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 1,600$)

Note: Normally we have five tier one games, ten tier two games, and twenty tier three games, but there are not 35 games this week (and every future week ) so everything is going to change a little bit.

Tier One Games (Must Watch)

 Texas Tech (6-6) vs  South Florida (9-2) – 12PM ET, ESPN (Sat, 12/23) – Birmingham Bowl

The second “Must Watch” of bowl season comes from an unlikely place, the Birmingham Bowl. USF had a somewhat disappointing 2017. The Preseason expectations were a New Year’s Six Bowl, but here they have a shot at a ten-win season, which is nothing to laugh at. The Bulls come in my personal rankings at #23. Texas Tech, on the other hand, has had an up and down year the whole way. They started 3-0 with wins over Arizona State and Houston, but after that, the Red Raiders lost five of six, with their only win being Kansas. At that point, Kliff Kingsbury’s job security was in the dumps, but Kingsbury turned it around, beating Baylor and Texas in November to earn himself one more game. Both of these teams have offenses ranked in the top 20, and both are led by extremely talented quarterbacks. For USF, its the star senior Quinton Flowers, who will be playing the final game of what has been a storied career, featuring 67 passing touchdowns, and 40 more on the ground in his three years at the helm in Tampa. Texas Tech’s leader comes in the form of Nic Shimonek. Shimonek is also a senior, but he sat behind Pat Maholmes and is finally coming into his own this year, throwing for over 3,500 yards during the 2017 campaign. The offenses are comparable, and both very good, so this will come down to which team plays better defense, and USF’s D has been good, letting up over 30 points just once in the past two months (11/24 @ UCF), Texas Tech’s D, while improved, is still in the bottom half. Give me South Florida to win in a shootout.

Prediction: South Florida 40, Texas Tech 34

Tier Two Games (Maybe Watch)

 San Diego State (10-2) vs  Army (9-3) – 3:30PM ET, ESPN (Sat, 12/23) – Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

Prediction: San Diego State 33, Army 21 (San Diego State -6.5 is a BEST BET for Bowl Season Week 2)

 Appalachian State (8-4) vs Toledo (11-2) – 7PM ET, ESPN (Sat, 12/23) – Dollar General Bowl

Prediction: Toledo 38, Appalachian State 30

 Fresno State (9-4) vs  Houston (7-4) – 8:30PM ET, ESPN (Sun, 12/24) – Hawai’i Bowl

Prediction: Fresno State 30, Houston 24 (Fresno State +2.5 is a BEST BET for Bowl Season Week 2)

 Utah (6-6) vs  West Virginia (7-5) – 1:30PM ET, ESPN (Tue, 12/26) – Zaxby’s Heart of Dallas Bowl

Prediction: Utah 35, West Virginia 27

 Kansas State (7-5) vs  UCLA (6-6) – 9PM ET, ESPN (Tue, 12/26) – Cactus Bowl

Prediction: Kansas State 35, UCLA 27 (Kansas State -2 is a BEST BET for Bowl Season Week Two)

 Iowa (7-5) vs  Boston College (7-5) – 5:15PM ET, ESPN (Wed, 12/27) – New Era Pinstripe Bowl

Prediction: Iowa 24, Boston College 21

 Arizona (7-5) vs  Purdue (6-6) – 8:30PM ET, FOX (Wed, 12/27) – Foster Farms Bowl

Prediction: Arizona 33, Purdue 27

 Texas (6-6) vs  Missouri (7-5) – 9PM ET, ESPN (Wed, 12/27) – Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl

Prediction: Texas 33, Missouri 27

Tier Three Games (For the Die Hards)

 Duke (6-6) vs  Northern Illinois (8-4) – 5:15PM ET, ESPN (Tue, 12/26) – Quick Lane Bowl

Prediction: Duke 27, Northern Illinois 21

 Southern Mississippi (8-4) vs  Florida State (6-6) – 1:30PM ET, ESPN (Wed, 12/27) – Walk-On’s Independence Bowl

Prediction: Florida State 31, Southern Mississippi 21

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