College Football Predictions and ATS Best Bets for Week Thirteen

ATS Best Bets

Week One: 3-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 200$)
Week Two: 8-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 700$)
Week Three: 6-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 500$)
Week Four: 3-5 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve lost 200$)
Week Five: 4-3 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 100$)
Week Six: 3-2 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 100$)
Week Seven: 4-2 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 200$)
Week Eight: 2-4 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve lost 200$)
Week Nine: 4-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 300$)
Week Ten: 1-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve canceled out)
Week Eleven: 2-2-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve canceled out)
Week Twelve: 2-4 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve lost 200$
Season: 41-26-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 1,500$)

BEST BETS FOR WEEK THIRTEEN

Western Michigan (+13) over Toledo – Friday at 11:30 on ESPNU
Georgia (-11) over Georgia Tech – Saturday at noon on ABC
Boston College (-3.5) over Syracuse – Saturday at 12:20 on ACC Network Extra
Arizona (-2) over Arizona State – Saturday at 4:30 on Pac-12 Network

Tier One

 South Florida (9-1) @ #15  UCF (10-0) – 3:30PM ET, ABC (Friday)

Yes, we get it, the committee hates group of five teams, UCF should be contending for a top ten spot, and they barely have cracked the top 15, but the best thing about the New Year’s Six system is that the group of five gets a guaranteed spot. This is practically a New Year’s Six semifinal game, with the winner taking on Memphis in the AAC Championship next week. This will be a game of tempo, with South Florida’s ground game against UCF’s high power, fast paced passing attack. I’m betting on the Golden Knights in that battle of tempos, as Scott Frost and UCF move up to 11-0.

Prediction: UCF 40, South Florida 30

#9  Ohio State (9-2) @  Michigan (8-3) – 12PM ET, FOX

Ohio State could still make the playoff. They got killed by Iowa, and they aren’t one of the four most deserving teams, but if they run the table, beating Michigan and Wisconsin in the process, they will be one of the four best, in fact, they would be favored against pretty much any team in the country right now, except for Alabama. After injuries knocked out the first two in the pecking order, Michigan is now planning on starting third string John O’Korn assuming neither Speight or Peters is cleared by game time. The Michigan defense can hold a candle to anyone in the country, but the offense has struggled, and John O’Korn is not the answer.

Prediction: Ohio State 35, Michigan 21

#1  Alabama (11-0) @ #6  Auburn (9-2) – 3:30PM ET, CBS

Alabama and Auburn, the Iron Bowl. College Gameday will be in town for this one. Massive stakes are attached for this game, both teams still control their own destiny for the College Football Playoff, but a loss would be season-ending for Auburn. The winner will play Georgia in Atlanta next week for the SEC Championship. Alabama would probably still get in with a loss (meaning they have less to play for), the game is at Auburn, and the Tide are dealing with injuries, all signs point to a potential upset… but you never beat against Nick Saban. Give me Alabama to not only win, but cover the spread on the back of their rushing attack.

Prediction: Alabama 33, Auburn 24

 West Virginia (7-4) @ #4  Oklahoma (10-1) – 3:45PM ET, ESPN

Gah, what is this game? This would’ve been one of the top games of the week, but after Will Grier’s injury last week, and the Mountaineers subsequent loss to Texas, Oklahoma comes into the game as 20-plus point favorites. In the QB battle between future Heisman winner Baker Mayfield and West Virginia backup Chris Chugunov, I think you know who I’m taking. West Virginia is a talented enough team that I see them covering the spread, especially if Mayfield receives limited playing time due to his actions last week against Texas, but Oklahoma’s #4 ranking should never be in doubt when the Sooners play in the Big 12 Title Game next week.

Prediction: Oklahoma 45, West Virginia 27

#8  Notre Dame (9-2) @ #21  Stanford (8-3) – 8PM ET, ABC

Both of these teams still have a shot at a New Year’s Six bowl, although Stanford will need Washington State to lose if the Cardinal want a spot in the Pac-12 Title Game. Notre Dame came out a little flat last week against Navy, and this week they’ll face another run-heavy team, this time however, it won’t be in the friendly confines of South Bend. This game will come down to how the Stanford defense deals with Brandon Winbush, the center piece of Notre Dame’s offensive attack, and to be honest, to me Stanford’s defense has been just okay this year. Give me Notre Dame to pull off a road win and clinch a New Year’s Six Bowl.

Prediction: Notre Dame 28, Stanford 21

Tier Two

#2  Miami (10-0) @  Pittsburgh (4-7) – 12PM ET, ABC (Friday)

Prediction: Miami 35, Pittsburgh 17

 Louisville (7-4) @  Kentucky (7-4) – 12PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: Louisville 42, Kentucky 30

#7  Georgia (10-1) @  Georgia Tech (5-5) – 12PM ET, ABC

Prediction: Georgia 37, Georgia Tech 20 (Georgia -11 is a BEST BET for Week Thirteen)

 Iowa State (7-4) @  Kansas State (6-5) – 3:30PM ET, ESPN2

Prediction: Kansas State 27, Iowa State 24

#23  Boise State (9-2) @  Fresno State (8-3) – 3:30PM ET, CBS Sports Network

Prediction: Boise State 28, Fresno State 21

#10  Penn State (9-2) @  Maryland (4-7) – 3:30PM ET, Big Ten Network

Prediction: Penn State 40, Maryland 14

#5  Wisconsin (11-0) @  Minnesota (5-6) – 3:30PM ET, ABC

Prediction: Wisconsin 34, Minnesota 10

 Texas A&M (7-4) @ #18  LSU (8-3) – 7:30PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: LSU 31, Texas A&M 23

#3  Clemson (10-1) @ #24 South Carolina (8-3) – 7:30PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: Clemson 31, South Carolina 20

#13  Washington State (9-2) @ #17  Washington (9-2) – 8PM ET, FOX

Prediction: Washington 37, Washington State 27

Tier Three

 Ole Miss (5-6) @ #14  Mississippi State (8-3) – 7:30PM ET, ESPN (Thursday)

Prediction: Mississippi State 37, Ole Miss 23

 Western Michigan (6-5) @  Toledo (9-2) – 11:30AM ET, ESPNU (Friday)

Prediction: Toledo 38, Western Michigan 31 (Western Michigan +13 is a BEST BET for Week Thirteen)

 Northern Illinois (8-3) @  Central Michigan (7-4) – 12PM ET, CBS Sports Network (Friday)

Prediction: Northern Illinois 30, Central Michigan 23

 Baylor (1-10) @ #12  TCU (9-2) – 12PM ET, Fox Sports 1 (Friday)

Prediction: TCU 40, Baylor 13

 Navy (6-4) @  Houston (6-4) – 12PM ET, ESPN (Friday)

Prediction: Houston 31, Navy 27

 Missouri (6-5) @  Arkansas (4-7) – 2:30PM ET, CBS (Friday)

Prediction: Missouri 42, Arkansas 27

 Iowa (6-5) @  Nebraska (4-7) – 4PM ET, Fox Sports 1 (Friday)

Prediction: Iowa 27, Nebraska 17

 Texas Tech (5-6) @  Texas (6-5) – 8PM ET, FOX (Friday)

Prediction: Texas 31, Texas Tech 21

#25  Virginia Tech (8-3) @  Virginia (6-5) – 8PM ET, ESPN (Friday)

Prediction: Virginia Tech 30, Virginia 20

 California (5-6) @  UCLA (5-6) – 10:30PM ET, Fox Sports 1 (Friday)

Prediction: UCLA 35, California 31

 Indiana (5-6) @  Purdue (5-6) – 12PM ET, ESPN2

Prediction: Purdue 27, Indiana 24

 Florida State (4-6) @  Florida (4-6) – 12PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: Florida State 24, Florida 20

 Boston College (6-5) @ Syracuse (4-7) – 12:20PM ET, ACC Network Extra

Prediction: Boston College 35, Syracuse 24 (Boston College -3.5 is a BEST BET for Week Thirteen)

 Duke (5-6) @  Wake Forest (7-4) – 12:30PM ET, ACC Network Extra

Prediction: Wake Forest 37, Duke 27

 Appalachian State (6-4) @  Georgia State (6-3) – 2PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Appalachian State 31, Georgia State 23

 Southern Mississippi (7-4) @  Marshall (7-4) – 2:30PM ET, Twitter

Prediction: Marshall 27, Southern Mississippi 23

 North Carolina (3-8) @  NC State (7-4) – 3:30PM ET, ESPNU

Prediction: NC State 33, North Carolina 17

#22  Northwestern (8-3) @  Illinois (2-9) – 4PM ET, Fox Sports 1

Prediction: Northwestern 31, Illinois 13

 Arizona (7-4) @  Arizona State (6-5) – 4:30PM ET, Pac-12 Network

Prediction: Arizona 44, Arizona State 37 (Arizona -2 is a BEST BET for Week Thirteen)

 Colorado (5-6) @  Utah (5-6) – 10PM ET, Fox Sports 1

Prediction: Utah 34, Colorado 27

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