Last Week: 17-7 (71%)
Overall: 159-52 (74%)
#17Western Michigan (12-0) vs Ohio (8-4) – 7PM ET, ESPN2 (MAC Championship in Detroit, MI) (Friday)
The Pick: Western Michigan
Kansas State (7-4) @ TCU (6-5) – 12PM ET, Fox Sports 1
The Pick: Kansas State
Temple (9-3) @ #19Navy (9-2) – 12PM ET, ABC (American Championship)
The Pick: Temple
Louisiana Tech (8-4) @ Western Kentucky (9-3) – 12PM ET, ESPN (Conference USA Championship)
The Pick: Western Kentucky
Baylor (6-5) @ #16West Virginia (9-2) – 3:30PM ET, Fox Sports 1
The Pick: West Virginia
San Diego State (9-3) @ Wyoming (8-4) – 7:45PM ET, ESPN (Mountain West Championship)
The Pick: San Diego State
#8Colorado (10-2) vs #4 Washington (11-1) – 9PM ET, FOX (Pac-12 Championship in Santa Clara, CA) (Friday)
Spread: Washington -7.5
This game seems unfair, because Colorado scheduled Michigan in the non conference they have two losses and even if Clemson were to lose, the Buffs probably still won’t get in because of that head to head with Michigan. On the other side, Washington played Idaho and Rutgers out of conference, and have cruised to a win-and-in spot at #4. I am very much looking forward to this game, both teams are coming off of big signature wins, but one team has to lose, and I think it will be Colorado. Sure, the Buffs have faced better competition, but this game will come down to Washington offensive line and pass rush just being a little bit more talented. I think Colorado keeps this close late, and down 27-20 they score a touchdown, opt to go for two and miss it, giving Washington the opportunity to drive down the field and seal the victory with a touchdown.
The Pick: Washington 34, Colorado 26
#10Oklahoma State (9-2) @ #9Oklahoma (9-2) – 12:30PM ET, FOX
Spread: Oklahoma -11
This game is not the Big 12 championship game, but jut between you and me, it is the Big 12 championship game. While the conference won’t have a branded title game until next year, this year the winner of this game will go to the Sugar Bowl ad it’s probably too late for either of these two to make a run at the playoff. This game is not just a name, it truly will be Bedlam between these two, and in a shootout with a spread in double digits, I feel it’s always safe to take the points. This game should be a fun start to conference championship weekend, and I think that this one will come down to the quarterback play. Oklahoma State’s Mason Rudolph will throw for over 300 yards for sure, maybe close to 400, but Baker Mayfield has probably Biletnikoff winner Dede Westbrook to throw to, and a pair of talented running backs to keep the defense honest. I think that leads the Sooners to a second straight Big 12 title.
The Pick: Oklahoma 48, Oklahoma State 38
#1Alabama (12-0) vs #15Florida (8-3) – 4PM ET, CBS (SEC Championship in Atlanta, GA)
Spread: Alabama -24
Alabama is just head and shoulders above everyone else in the country right now. Even with a loss to Florida here, the Tide will almost definitely stay in the top 2. Here’s the thing… they won’t. Some may argue that Bama could get caught looking ahead, and Florida has a lot to play for with a Sugar Bowl bid on the line. While these are fair points, I find it hard to believe the Nick Saban will let this team get caught looking ahead, and the Gators have been plagued with injuries, I would count on Alabama to expose Florida’s lack of depth. This one won’t be close, but I think the Gators score a late touchdown to cover once the Tide take their starters out.
The Pick: Alabama 35, Florida 14
#3Clemson (11-1) vs #23Virginia Tech (9-3) – 8PM ET, ABC (ACC Championship in Orlando, FL)
Spread: Clemson -10
A Clemson loss here would be the most interesting result of the weekend, it would open up the door for the Big Ten champion, Michigan, a possible Pac-12 Champion Colorado, or maybe even the Big 12 champion, and Virginia Tech is talented enough to do it. I saw it first hand last week when the Hokies blew out my Virginia Cavaliers 52-10, and don’t forget, Clemson struggles with good teams. When you really think about it, the Tigers have struggled with almost every good team they have faced. NC State, Florida State, Louisville, Auburn, even Georgia Tech and Troy. However, I think this is the week Deshaun Watson finally turns it up against a good defense and makes a big statement with the world watching to make the Heisman race actually a race, and lock up a playoff spot for Clemson.
The Pick: Clemson 38, Virginia Tech 27
#6Wisconsin (10-2) vs #7Penn State (10-2) – 8PM ET, FOX (Big Ten Championship in Indianapolis, IN)
Spread: Wisconsin -3
This is the game I am most excited for this week, despite the fact that I don’t think that either one of these teams will make the playoff without some help from Virginia Tech or Colorado. Penn State is on an absolute tear right now, they have absolutely dominated every team on the back half of their schedule, save for a close win against the second best team in America. The Nittany Lions did however get dominated themselves back in September against Michigan, 49-10. Now, Penn State is a much better team since that point, but the reason that Penn State lost that game is that the Nittany Lions just could not control the ground game of Michigan, giving up 326 yards and six touchdowns to Michigan’s run attack. Wisconsin runs a very similar style to Michigan on the offensive side of the ball, save the Jabrill Peppers stuff, and while I think this game will be a lot closer than that game back in September, Wisconsin will walk out of Indy with a Big Ten title.
The Pick: Wisconsin 28, Penn State 24