Straight Up (35 Games per week, but hurricanes caused cancellations in Weeks 1&2)

Week One: 30-4 (88%)
Week Two: 26-6 (81%)
Week Three: 26-9 (74%)
Season: 82-19 (81%)

ATS Best Bets

Week One: 3-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 200$ + 400$ original investment)
Week Two: 8-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 700$ + 900$ original investment)
Week Three: 6-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 500$ + 700$ original investment)

Best Bets For Week Four

Mississippi State (+6) over Georgia
Michigan (-10) over Purdue
Oklahoma (-27.5) over Baylor
Utah (-3) over Arizona
West Virginia (-21) over Kansas
Houston (-6.5) over Texas Tech
Wake Forest (-5) over Appalachian State
North Carolina (+2) over Duke

POLL RANKINGS ARE AP TOP 25 NOT MY OWN

Tier One Games

NC State (2-1) @ #12Florida State (0-1) – 12PM ET, ABC/ESPN2

Florida State hasn’t played since Week One due to Hurrican Irma, and it’s impossible to say how a tragedy like that affects a football team, but the common analyst would say that it’s a disadvantage given the Noles haven’t played in three weeks, especially because they’ll have to jump headfirst into the ACC schedule without giving James Blackman a chance to get his feet wet. I’m not a common analyst. Houston beat Arizona after Harvey, Florida beat Tennessee after Irma last week, I think the Noles go out in front of the home crowd and prove that they are still a top ten team without Deondre Francois. Give me Florida State to open up ACC play with a win.

Prediction: Florida State 28, NC State 20 

#1Alabama (3-0) @ Vanderbilt (3-0) – 3:30PM ET, CBS

The Vanderbilt defense has been incredible through the first three games of the season. The Commodores have allowed an average of 5 & 2/3 points per game over their first three games, including a win against then-ranked Kansas State. Vanderbilt places #1 in the nation in scoring defense, passing defense, total defense, the whole nine yards. The problem is, they’re playing Alabama. Does anyone really think that in a defensive struggle between Alabama and Vanderbilt that Vandy has a chance? Vanderbilt quarterback Kyle Shurmur is pretty good, and he’ll probably bring the Commodores to a bowl, but he’s not Deshaun Watson or Johnny Manziel. This seems like a 10-7 game at the half that just breaks open coming out of halftime.

Prediction: Alabama 34, Vanderbilt 10

#16TCU (3-0) @ #6Oklahoma State (3-0) – 3:30PM ET, ESPN

The game of the week, and where College Gameday should be, is in Stillwater, Oklahoma. I was not the type of believer that many were coming into the season about Oklahoma State, I thought that they could be a New Year’s Six team, but not quite at that playoff level. Boy, was I wrong. Oklahoma State has dominated every game this year, from Tulsa, a team that won ten games last year, to a Pitt team that beat Penn State and Clemson a season ago. TCU got a quality win over Arkansas a couple weeks ago, and a signature win on the road would catapult them into title contention. Problem is, they’re not going to win. Oklahoma State will overpower the Horned Frog defense, Mason Rudolph and James Washington will rack up yards, and Oklahoma State will start conference play 1-0.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 40, TCU 30

#17 Mississippi State (3-0) @ #11Georgia (3-0) – 7PM ET, ESPN

It’s a growing narrative that Dan Mullen might be the second-best coach in the SEC, and putting aside the very real possibility that he could leave for the NFL soon, I’d have to agree with that narrative. Last week’s blowout win over an LSU team that I thought was top ten really sold me on the Bulldogs (I actually had Mississippi State ranked coming into last week, just saying #SuttleBrag). Georgia is favored by a touchdown, I have more confidence in Nick Fitzgerald as an SEC quarterback than the true freshman Jake Fromm, and not only do I think Mississippi State will cover in this game, I see them winning outright, and picking up another big win to add to their resume.

Prediction: Mississippi State 27, Georgia 24 (Mississippi State +6 is a BEST BET for Week Four)

#4Penn State (3-0) @ Iowa (3-0) – 7:30PM ET, ABC

Think back to November of 2016, a 9-0 Michigan rolls into Kinnick Stadium against a 5-4 Iowa team, and comes out with a loss. That was a brutal 14-13 game where neither offense could get anything going. That won’t happen in Iowa City this Saturday. Both teams have their own electric back, for Iowa, it’s Akrum Wadley. With Wadley and the impressive Iowa offensive line, the Hawkeyes will be able to control the time of possession, but Penn State has an electric back of their own, and Saquon Barkley is going to dominate in the Big Ten this year the same as he did last year, Barkley and McSorley go into Kinnick, and unlike 2016 Michigan, stay undefeated.

Prediction: Penn State 34, Iowa 20

Tier Two Games

Texas A&M (2-1) vs Arkansas (1-1) – 12PM ET, ESPN (in Arlington, TX)

Prediction: Texas A&M 30, Arkansas 24

Boston College (1-2) @ #2Clemson (3-0) – 3:30PM ET, ESPN2

Prediction: Clemson 48, Boston College 10

#5USC (3-0) @ California (3-0) – 3:30PM ET, ABC

Prediction: USC 43, California 21

#8Michigan (3-0) @ Purdue (2-1) – 4PM ET, Fox

Prediction: Michigan 40, Purdue 14 (Michigan -10 is a BEST BET for Week Four)

#3Oklahoma (3-0) @ Baylor (0-3) – 6:30PM ET, Fox Sports 1

Prediction: Oklahoma 54, Baylor 17 (Oklahoma -27.5 is a BEST BET for Week Four)

Syracuse (2-1) @ #25LSU (2-1) – 7PM ET, ESPN2

Prediction: LSU 42, Syracuse 14

#20Florida (1-1) @ Kentucky (3-0) – 7:30PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: Florida 27, Kentucky 21

Notre Dame (2-1) @ Michigan State (2-0) – 8PM ET, Fox

Prediction: Notre Dame 27, Michigan State 21

#7Washington (3-0) @ Colorado (3-0) – 10PM ET, Fox Sports 1

Prediction: Washington 31, Colorado 20

UCLA (2-1) @ Stanford (1-2) – 10:30PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: Stanford 38, UCLA 24

Tier Three Games

Temple (2-1) @ #21South Florida (3-0) – 7:30PM ET (Thursday), ESPN

Prediction: South Florida 38, Temple 24

Virginia (2-1) @ Boise State (2-1) – 8PM ET (Friday), ESPN2

Prediction: Boise State 31, Virginia 17

#23Utah (3-0) @ Arizona (2-1) – 10:30PM ET (Friday), Fox Sports One

Prediction: Utah 35, Arizona 23 (Utah -3 is a BEST BET for Week Four)

West Virginia (2-1) @ Kansas (1-2) – 12PM ET, ESPNU

Prediction: West Virginia 45, Kansas 17 (West Virginia -21 is a BEST BET for Week Four)

Massachusetts (0-4) @ Tennessee (2-1) – 12PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: Tennessee 44, Massachusetts 20

Texas Tech (2-0) @ Houston (2-0) – 12PM ET, ABC/ESPN2

Prediction: Houston 40, Texas Tech 24 (Houston -6.5 is a BEST BET for Week Four)

Pittsburgh (1-2) @ Georgia Tech (1-1) – 12:20PM ET, ACC Network Extra

Prediction: Georgia Tech 37, Pittsburgh 24

Old Dominion (2-1) @ #13Virginia Tech (3-0) – 2PM ET, ACC Network Extra

Prediction: Virginia Tech 42, Old Dominion 20

UCF (1-0) @ Maryland (2-0) – 3PM ET, Fox Sports One

Prediction: Maryland 34, UCF 24

Rutgers (1-2) @ Nebraska (1-2) – 3:30PM ET, Big Ten Network

Prediction: Nebraska 30, Rutgers 14

Cincinnati (2-1) @ Navy (2-0) – 3:30PM ET, CBS Sports Network

Prediction: Navy 30, Cincinnati 17

Louisiana Tech (2-1) @ South Carolina (2-1) – 3:30PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: South Carolina 27, Louisiana Tech 24

Wake Forest (3-0) @ Appalachian State (2-1) – 3:30PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Wake Forest 33, Appalachian State 20 (Wake Forest -5 is a BEST BET for Week Four)

Toledo (3-0) @ #14Miami (1-0) – 3:30PM ET, ACC Network Extra

Prediction: Miami 35, Toledo 28

Duke (3-0) @ North Carolina (1-2) – 3:30PM ET, ESPNU

Prediction: North Carolina 30, Duke 24 (North Carolina +2 is a BEST BET for Week Four)

Nevada (0-3) @ #18Washington State (3-0) – 6PM ET, Pac-12 Network

Prediction: Washington State 45, Nevada 20

Arkansas State (1-1) @ SMU (2-1) – 7PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: SMU 38, Arkansas State 30

#22San Diego State (3-0) @ Air Force (1-1) – 7PM ET, CBS Sports Network

Prediction: San Diego State 30, Air Force 26

#15Auburn (2-1) @ Missouri (1-2) – 7:30PM ET, ESPNU

Prediction: Auburn 40, Missouri 17

#24Oregon (3-0) @ Arizona State (1-2) – 10PM ET, Pac-12 Network

Prediction: Oregon 44, Arizona State 27