Straight Up (35 Games per week, but hurricanes caused cancellations in Weeks 1&2)

Week One: 30-4 (88%)
Week Two: 26-6 (81%)
Season: 56-10 (85%)

ATS Best Bets

Week One: 3-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 200$ + 400$ original investment)
Week Two: 8-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 700$ + 900$ original investment)

ATS Best Bets for Week Three

Clemson -3 over Louisville
Ohio -7.5 over Kansas
Air Force +24 over Michigan
Coastal Carolina +1.5 over UAB
Virginia Tech -23 over East Carolina
SMU +22.5 over TCU
Louisiana Tech +7 over Western Kentucky

Tier One Games

#25UCLA (2-0) @ Memphis (1-0) – 12PM ET, ABC

Let me take you back to October 17th, 2015 in Memphis, Tennessee. Just four weeks after going on the road and shocking the world by beating Nick Saban and Alabama, the Ole Miss Rebels came to Memphis… and lost by two touchdowns, we’ll see if they can repeat that here. Coming into the year, I said there were three group of five teams that could make the playoff, Boise State, San Diego State, and Memphis (Sorry USF fans) because they played a top 25 team in nonconference. Obviously, Boise lost their chance, but SDSU and Memphis have shots to knock off Stanford and UCLA this week, and I would say there’s probably a 50-50 chance one of the two pull it off. Memphis has the advantage of getting the Bruins at home, and while UCLA has a 0 in the loss column, they probably should have lost that game to Texas A&M, and I almost called the upset here… almost. One reason kept me from doing it, Josh Rosen. The chosen one threw for 329 yards and five touchdowns on an 88% completion rate, averaging over 13 yards per attempt last week. This one will be another down to the wire game like UCLA’s week one matchup, but I have to side with the team with the best player on the field in these close of games, and here, that is Josh Rosen.

Prediction: UCLA 27, Memphis 24

#23Tennessee (2-0) @ #24Florida (0-1) – 3:30PM ET, CBS

The SEC East is looking a lot better this year. Georgia and South Carolina have each started the year with a signature win over Notre Dame and NC State respectively, and the bottom tier of the division (Vandy, Missouri, and Kentucky) should all compete for a bowl bid.Then we have these two teams, the unknowns. The loser of this game will probably drop out of the Top 25 and will take a backseat in the race for the SEC East crown. I kept Florida in my Top 20 even after the offense had an abysmal game against Michigan in week one, that’s because the best player on the team, WR Antonio Callaway, was suspended for that game, and it was against Michigan, a team with a top-10 defense. Callaway will be back in this game. The Gators have this one at home, in the swamp, and I agree with Vegas. Florida wins in what will be a defensive battle.

Prediction: Florida 24, Tennessee 17

#12LSU (2-0) @ Mississippi State (2-0) – 7PM ET, ESPN

LSU and Mississippi State are two of the most underrated teams in the polls according to my computer rankings, LSU ranks seventh, and Mississippi State, who received just three points in the latest AP poll, is ranked by my system (translates to about 150 points). This game could be overshadowed by Clemson-Louisville, but thankfully it starts an hour earlier to get more eyes on it. LSU’s defense dominated what is in most years a prolific BYU offense, the Cougars never crossed the midfield line in Week One. Mississippi State’s offense is certainly a step up, and they dominated Louisiana Tech last week, a team consistently at the top of Conference-USA. The Bulldogs will home field advantage, and Nick Fitzgerald is definitely going to cross midfield, in fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if Mississippi State was leading at halftime, but LSU’s defense is just too athletic, and Matt Canada finally has something going with the offense. LSU will pull away and open a lot of eyes.

Prediction: LSU 34, Mississippi State 21

#3Clemson (2-0) @ #14Louisville (2-0) – 8PM ET, ABC

Do you remember the NCAA Tournament this past year, when Sindarius Thornwell pretty much carried South Carolina to the Final Four while the rest of the team was average? That’s this Louisville team. With Lamar Jackson on the field, Louisville will always be able to compete in big games, but the offensive line hasn’t gotten better, and the defense let up 35 points to a rebuilding North Carolina team. On the other hand, Clemson’s defense (specifically the D-Line) dominated an Auburn team that I think is better than Louisville, so even with home field advantage, I don’t think there is a question that Clemson is winning this game. Lamar Jackson can’t put up a Heisman performance if he’s getting pressured every single play, which is a distinct possibility given the mismatch at the line of scrimmage. Throw out those points, and give me Clemson minus the three.

Prediction: Clemson 38, Louisville 24 (Clemson -3 is a BEST BET for Week Three)

Texas (1-1) @ #4USC (2-0) – 8:30PM ET, FOX

In a rematch of what some say was the greatest college football game ever, the 2005 Rose Bowl, this will get a lot of coverage, but it should never really be in doubt. Shane Buechele should be good to go for Texas, and my computer expects Texas to keep this one close (The Longhorns are still ranked, computers don’t react as much to one game compared to humans) but I don’t know if you will find one person outside of Austin that thinks that USC, who just beat Stanford last week, will lose to Texas. Body blow theory after a physical game against Stanford could keep Texas in this one, but USC should control this whole game, with Texas potentially getting a backdoor cover late. Either way, Sam Darnold and the Trojans are a top-five team, and they shouldn’t have trouble with Texas.

Prediction: USC 45, Texas 34

Tier Two Games

Illinois (2-0) @ #22South Florida (2-0) – 7PM ET, ESPN (Friday)

Prediction: USF 27, Illinois 14

#9Oklahoma State (2-0) @ Pittsburgh (1-1) – 12PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: Oklahoma State 38, Pittsburgh 20

#10Wisconsin (2-0) @ BYU (1-2) – 3:30PM ET, ABC

Prediction: Wisconsin 27, BYU 14

Purdue (1-1) @ Missouri (1-1) – 4PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: Missouri 37, Purdue 31

Oregon State (1-2) @ #21Washington State (2-0) – 5:30PM ET, Pac-12Network

Prediction: Washington State 41, Oregon State 21

Oregon (2-0) @ Wyoming (1-1) – 7PM ET, CBS Sports Network

Prediction: Oregon 35, Wyoming 27

Kentucky (2-0) @ South Carolina (2-0) – 7:30PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: South Carolina 31, Kentucky 24

#18Kansas State (2-0) @ Vanderbilt (2-0) – 7:30PM ET ESPNU

Prediction: Kansas State 31, Vanderbilt 24

Ole Miss (2-0) @ California (2-0) – 10:30PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: Ole Miss 37, California 30

#19Stanford (1-1) @ San Diego State (2-0) – 10:30PM ET, CBS Sports Network

Prediction: Stanford 31, San Diego State 24

Tier Three Games

Kansas (1-1) @ Ohio (1-1) – 12PM ET, ESPNU

Prediction: Ohio 28, Kansas 14 (Ohio -7.5 is a BEST BET for Week Three)

Northern Illinois (1-1) @ Nebraska (1-1) – 12PM ET, Fox Sports One

Prediction: Nebraska 27, Northern Illinois 20

Air Force (1-0) @ #7Michigan (2-0) – 12PM ET, Big Ten Network

Prediction: Michigan 31, Air Force 14 (Air Force +24 is a BEST BET for Week Three)

Baylor (0-2) @ Duke (2-0) – 12:30PM ET, ACC Network

Prediction: Duke 27, Baylor 14

Coastal Carolina (1-0) @ UAB (1-1) – 1PM ET

Prediction: Coastal Carolina 34, UAB 20 (Coastal Carolina +1.5 is a BEST BET for Week Three)

Utah State (1-1) @ Wake Forest (2-0) – 3PM ET, ACC Network

Prediction: Wake Forest 27, Utah State 14

#16Virginia Tech (2-0) @ East Carolina (0-2) – 3:30PM ET, CBS Sports Network

Prediction: Virginia Tech 41, East Carolina 10 (Virginia Tech -23 is a BEST BET for Week Three)

North Texas (1-1) @ Iowa (2-0) – 3:30PM ET, ESPN2

Prediction: Iowa 37, North Texas 14

SMU (2-0) @ #20TCU (2-0) – 3:30PM ET, ESPNU

Prediction: TCU 31, SMU 20 (SMU +19 is a BEST BET for Week Three)

Notre Dame (1-1) @ Boston College (1-1) – 3:30PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: Notre Dame 27, Boston College 10

Middle Tennessee (1-1) @ Minnesota (2-0) – 3:30PM ET, Big Ten Network

Prediction: Minnesota 24, Middle Tennessee 17

Army (2-0) @ #8Ohio State (1-1) – 4:30PM ET, FOX

Prediction: Ohio State 41, Army 17

Tulane (1-1) @ #2Oklahoma (2-0) – 6PM ET

Prediction: Oklahoma 51, Tulane 17

Colorado State (2-1) @ #1Alabama (2-0) – 7PM ET, ESPN2

Prediction: Alabama 44, Colorado State 17

Louisiana Tech (1-1) @ Western Kentucky (1-1) – 7PM ET

Prediction: Louisiana Tech 42, Western Kentucky 31 (Louisiana Tech +7 is THE #1 BEST BET for Week Three)

Bowling Green (0-2) @ Northwestern (1-1) – 7:30PM ET, Big Ten Network

Prediction: Northwestern 37, Bowling Green 17

Georgia State (0-1) @ #5Penn State (2-0) – 7:30PM ET, Big Ten Network

Prediction: Penn State 47, Georgia State 10

Arizona State (1-1) @ Texas Tech (1-0) – 8PM ET

Prediction: Texas Tech 40, Arizona State 27

Fresno State (1-1) @ #6Washington (2-0) – 9:30PM ET, Pac-12 Network

Prediction: Washington 41, Fresno State 7

San José State @ Utah (2-0) – 10PM ET, ESPN2

Prediction: Utah 38, San José State 13