Straight Up (35 Games per week, but hurricanes caused cancellations in Weeks 1&2)
Week One: 30-4 (88%)
Week Two: 26-6 (81%)
Week Three: 26-9 (74%)
Week Four: 27-8 (77%)
Week Five: 29-6 (83%)
Week Six: 27-8 (77%)
Season: 138-33 (81%)
ATS Best Bets
Week One: 3-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 200$)
Week Two: 8-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 700$)
Week Three: 6-1 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 500$)
Week Four: 3-5 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve lost 200$)
Week Five: 4-3 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 100$)
Week Six: 3-2 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 100$)
Season: 27-13 (100 dollar bet on each would’ve won 1400$)
BEST BETS FOR WEEK SEVEN
South Carolina (+3.5) over Tennessee – 12PM
Boston College (+22) over Louisville – 12:20PM
Wisconsin (-16.5) over Purdue – 3:30PM
Texas A&M (+3) over Florida – 7PM
Utah (+13) over USC – 8PM
Washington (-17.5) over Arizona State – 10:45PM
Poll Rankings are AP Top 25 not my own, check out the CSD Top 25 by clicking the link
Tier One Games
#6
TCU (5-0) @
Kansas State (3-2) – 12PM ET, Fox Sports One
Interesting how this game, perhaps the best matchup of the day, is on at noon. TCU has one of the best resumes in the country, with wins over Arkansas, West Virginia, and Oklahoma State, but I absolutely see potential for an upset here. The “Little Apple” is a tough place to play for almost anyone, the stadium is over capacity much of the time, and it’s in the middle of nowhere. K-State took Texas to overtime last week, and this is going to be another game that will come down to the wire, but Kenny Hill has rebounded from a poor year in 2016, and the TCU defense looks like one that Gary Patterson would be proud of once again. Bill Snyder will have K-State ready, and I wouldn’t touch TCU-6 with a ten foot pole, but since I have to make a pick, I’ll side with the proven commodity.
Prediction: TCU 37, Kansas State 30
#10
Auburn (5-1) @
LSU (4-2) – 3:30PM ET, CBS
LSU rebounded from the Troy loss last week by going to the Swamp and beating a ranked Florida team. LSU is going to be one of those hot and cold teams this year, that you will never quite know which team Ed Orgeron is going to put out there, the Mississippi State one, or the BYU one. Regardless, Auburn is a top tier team, no doubt about it, their one possession loss to Clemson on the road might actually strengthen their resume given how dominant CU has been this year, even on the road. This is going to be a defensive struggle, and if either team gets into the mid-30’s I’d be surprised, but I have absolutely zero confidence in Danny Etling as a quarterback, and even on the road, I’ve got Auburn.
Prediction: Auburn 30, LSU 24
#12
Oklahoma (4-1) vs
Texas (3-2) – 3:30PM ET, ESPN (in Dallas, TX)
The Red River Rivalry made the list of tier one games, what do you know? Oklahoma has the best win of any team in the country (@ Ohio State), which is why I kept them in the top ten, but they also have the worst loss of any top 25 team, at home, to the Iowa State Cyclones this past week. Texas is another hot and cold team, they lost to a bad Maryland team, but the Longhorns also beat Kansas State, and probably should have beaten USC on the road (I told you they should’ve gone for two!). Two of the toughest teams to evaluate in all of college football, but I think that loss to Iowa State last week woke the Sooners up, and I see Oklahoma getting the win in Dallas.
Prediction: Oklahoma 37, Texas 27
Purdue (3-2) @ #7
Wisconsin (5-0) – 3:30PM ET, BTN
I really like Wisconsin this year, and I think Vegas really undervalues the Badgers because they’ve played nobody this year. I took Wisconsin mins the 11 last week over Nebraska, and won. This time, you are laying more points (16.5) but it’s at home, against an improved but still mediocre Purdue team, I’ll take that any day of the week. Wisconsin’s non-con also looks a little better than it did before, with FAU contending for a Conference-USA title, and Utah State holding a record of 3-1 against fellow group of five opponents. Purdue is fine, and I’d be really happy if they made a bowl, I rated Jeff Brohm as my #1 higher of the offseason, but I certainly don’t see them taking down Wisconsin on the road.
Prediction: Wisconsin 38, Purdue 14 (Wisconsin -16.5 is a BEST BET for Week Seven)
Arkansas (2-3) @ #1
Alabama (6-0) – 7:15PM ET, ESPN
Guess who is about to get murdered? Alabama looked vulnerable for the first time last week against Texas A&M, in a game that came down to the last possession (Texas A&M actually went up in my power ratings after the loss). That is not happening against Arkansas. Alabama is going to get back to the pace they were at against Ole Miss and Vandy. The Tide are at home, and Arkansas has a rough go of things so far this year, and things aren’t going to get better with Alabama this week, and then Auburn the next. Bret Bielema’s buyout will prevent him from getting fired this year, but he better have something up his sleeve in 2018, or he is out. This is going to be a beatdown.
Prediction: Alabama 45, Arkansas 14
Tier Two Games
#2
Clemson (6-0) @
Syracuse (3-3) – 7PM ET, ESPN (Friday)
Prediction: Clemson 44, Syracuse 17
#8
Washington State (6-0) @
California (3-3) – 10:30PM ET, ESPN (Friday)
Prediction: Washington State 35, California 21
Florida State (1-3) @
Duke (4-2) – 12PM ET, ESPN2
Prediction: Florida State 31, Duke 20
#17
Michigan (4-1) @
Indiana (3-2) – 12PM ET, ABC
Prediction: Michigan 30, Indiana 17
Georgia Tech (3-1) @ #11
Miami (4-0) – 3:30PM ET, ABC
Prediction: Miami 33, Georgia Tech 28
Baylor (0-5) @ #14
Oklahoma State (4-1) – 3:30PM ET, Fox Sports 1
Prediction: Oklahoma State 52, Baylor 21
Texas A&M (4-2) @
Florida (3-2) – 7PM ET, ESPN2
Prediction: Texas A&M 28, Florida 24 (Texas A&M +3 is a BEST BET for Week Seven)
#9
Ohio State (5-1) @
Nebraska (3-3) – 7:30PM ET, Fox Sports One
Prediction: Ohio State 42, Nebraska 14
Utah (4-1) @ #13
USC (5-1) – 8PM ET, ABC
Prediction: USC 33, Utah 27 (Utah +13 is a BEST BET for Week Seven)
#5
Washington (6-0) @
Arizona State (2-3) – 10:45PM ET, ESPN
Prediction: Washington 44, Arizona State 14 (Washington -17.5 is a BEST BET for Week Seven)
Tier Three Games
Eastern Michigan (2-3) @
Army (4-2) – 12PM ET, CBS Sports Network
Prediction: Army 28, Eastern Michigan 21
BYU (1-5) @
Mississippi State (3-2) – 12PM ET, SEC Network
Prediction: Mississippi State 35, BYU 17
#20 NC State (5-1) @
Pittsburgh (2-4) – 12PM ET, ACC Network
Prediction: NC State 37, Pittsburgh 24
South Carolina (4-2) @
Tennessee (3-2) – 12PM ET, ESPN
Prediction: South Carolina 31, Tennessee 21 (South Carolina +3.5 is a BEST BET for Week Seven)
#24 Texas Tech (4-1) @
West Virginia (3-2) – 12PM ET, ESPNU
Prediction: West Virginia 40, Texas Tech 34
Boston College (2-4) @
Louisville (4-2) – 12:20PM ET, ACC Network
Prediction: Louisville 33, Boston College 20 (Boston College +22 is a BEST BET for Week Seven)
Vanderbilt (3-3) @
Ole Miss (2-3) – 3:30PM ET, SEC Network
Prediction: Vanderbilt 26, Ole Miss 24
Northwestern (2-3) @
Maryland (3-2) – 3:30PM ET, ESPN2
Prediction: Northwestern 28, Maryland 21
Virginia (4-1) @
North Carolina (1-5) – 3:30PM ET, ACC Network
Prediction: Virginia 30, North Carolina 24
#25Navy (5-0) @
Memphis (4-1) – 3:45PM ET, ESPNU
Prediction: Navy 40, Memphis 38
Colorado (3-3) @
Oregon State (1-5) – 4PM ET, Pac-12 Network
Prediction: Colorado 31, Oregon State 17
Houston (4-1) @
Tulsa (1-5) – 4PM ET, ESPNews
Prediction: Houston 37, Tulsa 24
East Carolina (1-5) @ #22
UCF (4-0) – 7PM ET, CBS Sports Network
Prediction: UCF 52, East Carolina 12
Cincinnati (2-4) @ #18
South Florida (5-0) – 7:30PM ET, ESPNU
Prediction: USF 47, Cincinnati 17
Missouri (1-5) @ #4
Georgia (6-0) – 7:30PM ET, SEC Network
Prediction: Georgia 45, Missouri 14
#21Michigan State (4-1) @
Minnesota (3-2) – 8PM ET, Big Ten Network
Prediction: Michigan State 24, Minnesota 20
UCLA (3-2) @
Arizona (3-2) – 9PM ET, Pac-12 Network
Prediction: Arizona 37, UCLA 34
Nevada (1-5) @
Colorado State (4-2) – 10:15PM ET, ESPN2
Prediction: Colorado State 47, Nevada 21
Boise State (3-2) @ #19
San Diego State (6-0) – 10:30PM ET, CBS Sports Network
Prediction: San Diego State 30, Boise State 24
Oregon (4-2) @ #23
Stanford (4-2) – 11PM ET, Fox Sports One
Prediction: Stanford 35, Oregon 26