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  • College Football Schedule, Picks, and Predictions For Every Game – Week 11

College Football Schedule, Picks, and Predictions For Every Game – Week 11

It was a big week 10, so think of week 11 as a bit of a “hangover week” for teams to get things right. Here’s what is on the schedule as we get into our college football picks week 11 edition:

  • Iowa @ Minnesota and Penn State @ Nebraska are two games featuring decent Big Ten teams that had poor starts looking to turn their seasons around
  • #9 Miami faces a tough road test @ an angry Virginia Tech team
  • #6 Florida gets a Sam Pittman-less Arkansas Razorbacks squad the week after upsetting Georgia
  • #13 Wisconsin is finally back from their COVID hiatus, they travel to Ann Arbor to face Michigan
  • #2 Notre Dame gets the ultimate trap game: @ Boston College in the famous Red Bandana game
  • #23 Northwestern and Purdue square off for the Big Ten West lead
  • South Carolina and Ole Miss are both better than their 2-4 records indicate, they face off in what should be a fun night game
  • Cal @ Arizona State is your Pac-12 after dark game this week, hopefully it doesn’t get canceled!

2020 Prediction Stats

Straight Up: 225-80 (74%)
ATS Best Bets: 30-26 (54%)
ATS Total: 144-139-22 (50%)

Best Bets

Central Michigan (-6) @ Northern Illinois – Wednesday, 8 PM ET, ESPNU
Tulane (-4) vs Army – 12 PM ET, ESPN+
West Virginia (-2) vs TCU – 12 PM ET, FOX
South Alabama (+15.5) @ #25 Louisiana – 2 PM ET, ESPN+
Boston College (+14) vs #2 Notre Dame – 3:30 PM ET, ABC
#13 Wisconsin (-1) @ Michigan – 7:30 PM ET, ABC
Cal (-2.5) @ UCLA – Sunday, 12 PM ET, FS1

Tuesday, November 10th

Akron (0-1 MAC) @ Ohio (0-1 MAC)
Vegas Line: Ohio -22

CSD Pick: Ohio 38, Akron 15

Kent State (1-0 MAC) @ Bowling Green (0-1 MAC)
7:30 PM ET, ESPN2
Vegas Line: Kent State -17

CSD Pick: Kent State 34, Bowling Green 20

Miami OH (1-0 MAC) @ Buffalo (1-0 MAC)
Vegas Line: Buffalo -9.5

CSD Pick: Buffalo 33, Miami OH 24

Wednesday, November 11th

Eastern Michigan (0-1 MAC) @ Ball State (0-1 MAC)
Vegas Line: Ball State -7.5

CSD Pick: Ball State 36, Eastern Michigan 26

Toledo (1-0 MAC) @ Western Michigan (1-0 MAC)
Vegas Line: Western Michigan -2

CSD Pick: Western Michigan 30, Toledo 29

Central Michigan (1-0 MAC) @ Northern Illinois (0-1 MAC)
Vegas Line: Central Michigan -6

The NIU defense looked atrocious last week against Buffalo, and against a Central Michigan group that’s ground game is among the best in the country, I don’t like Northern Illinois’ chance. The Chippewas should roll.

CSD Pick: Central Michigan 33, Northern Illinois 24

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Central Michigan -6

Thursday, November 12th

Colorado State (1-1, 1-1 MW) @ Boise State (2-1, 2-0 MW)
8 PM ET, FS1
Vegas Line: Boise State -14

CSD Pick: Boise State 34, Colorado State 22

Friday, November 13th

Florida Atlantic (3-1, 3-1 C-USA) @ FIU (0-3, 0-1 C-USA)
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic -9.5

CSD Pick: Florida Atlantic 28, FIU 19

Iowa (1-2 Big Ten) @ Minnesota (1-2 Big Ten)

7 PM ET, FS1
Vegas Line: Iowa -2.5

In a week as weak as this one, games like this are going to get thrust more into the spotlight, and that’s ok. Both of these teams are better than their 1-2 record indicates, and both are fresh off of their first wins of the season. Iowa QB Spencer Petras has been quite inaccurate thus far, throwing at a clip just barely cracking 50%. I expect the Minnesota defense to force some turnovers and pick up a close home win.

CSD Pick: Minnesota 31, Iowa 27

East Carolina (1-5, 1-4 AAC) @ #7 Cincinnati (6-0, 4-0 AAC)
7:30 PM ET, ESPN2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati -25.5

CSD Pick: Cincinnati 43, East Carolina 18

Saturday, November 14th

#9 Miami (6-1, 5-1 ACC) @ Virginia Tech (4-3, 4-2 ACC)

Vegas Line: Virginia Tech -2

A week after losing to Liberty, a 4-3 Virginia Tech squad is an outright favorite against a top-ten team. That seems a little crazy until you dig more into it. Miami, as they do seemingly every year, has a very inflated record right now. They have not performed like a 6-1 team, and they’ve faced a very weak schedule. VT, on the other hand, has a bit of an under-inflated record. Both the Wake and Liberty losses were very winnable games and VT has dealt with significant COVID problems. The Hokies are at home here, and I expect them to run all over a Miami defense that has taken a big step back this year. The Hurricanes, a team that has won a lot of close games those year, will have their luck finally run out.

CSD Pick: Virginia Tech 35, Miami 31

#10 Indiana (3-0 Big Ten) @ Michigan State (1-2 Big Ten)
Vegas Line: Indiana -8

CSD Pick: Indiana 31, Michigan State 20

#15 Coastal Carolina (7-0, 5-0 Sun Belt) @ Troy (4-3, 2-2 Sun Belt) – CANCELLED
Vegas Line: Coastal Carolina -7.5

CSD Pick: Coastal Carolina 33, Troy 25

Middle Tennessee (2-5, 2-3 C-USA) @ #16 Marshall (6-0, 3-0 C-USA)
Vegas Line: Marshall -24

CSD Pick: Marshall 41, Middle Tennessee 16

Western Carolina (0-0) @ #22 Liberty (7-0)
Vegas Line: Liberty -32.5

CSD Pick: Liberty 50, Western Carolina 7

Army (6-1) @ Tulane (4-4)
Vegas Line: Tulane -4

I’m going to keep betting on Tulane until Vegas catches on. The Green Wave is 4-0 against the spread in their last four games, covering by an average of over 12 points. I’ll lock them up here against an Army team with a very inflated record.

CSD Pick: Tulane 31, Army 22

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Tulane -4

Penn State (0-3 Big Ten) @ Nebraska (0-2 Big Ten)

12 PM ET, FS1
Vegas Line: Penn State -3.5

An 0 must go here. From the win column. Wow. Both of these teams had relatively high expectations coming into the year and have flopped, going winless. That being said… I do still think these teams are a lot better than the records indicate, there is too much raw talent on both groups for that not to be the case. The Nebraska defense will put up a fight, but a desperate James Franklin, hoping to avoid an 0-4 start, will motivate the Nittany Lions to a close victory.

CSD Pick: Penn State 27, Nebraska 23

Wake Forest (4-2, 3-2 ACC) @ North Carolina (5-2, 5-2 ACC)
12 PM ET, ACC Network
Vegas Line: North Carolina -10.5

CSD Pick: North Carolina 35, Wake Forest 29

TCU (3-3, 3-3 Big 12) @ West Virginia (4-3, 3-3 Big 12)
Vegas Line: West Virginia -2

I really like this 4-3 West Virginia team. QB Jarret Doege isn’t quite there yet, but he’s shown flashes, and the defense has looked great under Neal Brown’s tutelage. The Mountaineers haven’t lost a game at home so far this year, and they’ll knock off the Horned Frogs.

CSD Pick: West Virginia 30, TCU 25

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – West Virginia -2

Vanderbilt (0-5 SEC) @ Kentucky (2-4 SEC)
12 PM ET, SEC Network
Vegas Line: Kentucky -17.5

CSD Pick: Kentucky 32, Vanderbilt 11

Illinois (0-3 Big Ten) @ Rutgers (1-2 Big Ten)
Vegas Line: Rutgers -6

CSD Pick: Illinois 21, Rutgers 20

Gardner-Webb (0-0) @ Charlotte (2-3) – CANCELLED
Vegas Line: Charlotte -29.5

CSD Pick: Charlotte 39, Gardner-Webb 11

South Alabama (3-4, 2-2 Sun Belt) @ #25 Louisiana (6-1, 4-1 Sun Belt)
Vegas Line: Louisiana -15.5

I’ve been lower on Louisiana than most all year, and it has largely paid off. Since the big victory over Iowa State, the Cajuns are 1-5 against the spread. Pound South Alabama here.

CSD Pick: Louisiana 31, South Alabama 23

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – South Alabama +15.5

Georgia State (3-3, 2-3 Sun Belt) @ Appalachian State (5-1, 3-0 Sun Belt)
2:30 PM ET, ESPN+
Vegas Line: Appalachian State -16

CSD Pick: Appalachian State 37, Georgia State 20

Fresno State (2-1, 2-1 MW) @ Utah State (0-3, 0-3 MW)
2:30 PM ET, FS2
Vegas Line: Fresno State -11.5

CSD Pick: Fresno State 30, Utah State 20

UTEP (3-3, 0-2 C-USA) @ UTSA (4-4, 2-2 C-USA)
Vegas Line: UTSA -5

CSD Pick: UTEP 23, UTSA 22

North Texas (2-3, 1-2 C-USA) @ UAB (4-3, 2-1 C-USA) – CANCELLED
3 PM ET, Stadium
Vegas Line: UAB -15

CSD Pick: UAB 37, North Texas 26

#2 Notre Dame (7-0, 6-0 ACC) @ Boston College (5-3, 4-3 ACC)

3:30 PM ET, ABC
Vegas Line: Notre Dame -14

Oh wow. It would just be the most Notre Dame thing ever to lose to Boston College here, wouldn’t it? The Golden Eagles have knocked off an undefeated Notre Dame team after the Irish beat the class of the ACC twice before – in 2002 and 1993. Boston College, playing in their annual red bandana game, one of the most emotional days on the sports calendar, will absolutely have a shot to win this game. The Eagles, led by, ironically, Notre Dame transfer Phil Jurkovec, should cover this 14-point spread, and I would not at all be surprised by an outright win.

CSD Pick: Notre Dame 32, Boston College 25

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Boston College +14

#20 USC (1-0 Pac-12) @ Arizona (0-0 Pac-12)
3:30 PM ET, FOX
Vegas Line: USC -12.5

CSD Pick: USC 38, Arizona 24

Southern Miss (2-5, 1-2 C-USA) @ Western Kentucky (2-6, 1-3 C-USA)
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky -8

CSD Pick: Western Kentucky 25, Southern Miss 18

Rice (1-1, 1-1 C-USA) @ Louisiana Tech (4-3, 3-2 C-USA) – CANCELLED
3:30 PM ET, ESPN3
Vegas Line: Pick’em

CSD Pick: Louisiana Tech 27, Rice 24

USF (1-6, 0-5 AAC) @ Houston (2-3, 2-2 AAC)
3:30 PM ET, ESPN2
Vegas Line: Houston -14

CSD Pick: Houston 34, USF 24

Texas State (1-8, 1-4 Sun Belt) @ Georgia Southern (5-2, 3-2 Sun Belt)
3:30 PM ET, ESPN3
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern -10

CSD Pick: Georgia Southern 34, Texas State 22

Louisville (2-5, 1-5 ACC) @ Virginia (2-4, 2-4 ACC)
3:30 PM ET, ACC Network
Vegas Line: Virginia -3

CSD Pick: Virginia 33, Louisville 30

Colorado (1-0 Pac-12) @ Stanford (0-1 Pac-12)
3:30 PM ET, ESPN
Vegas Line: Stanford -7

CSD Pick: Stanford 29, Colorado 22

Hawai’i (2-1, 2-1 MW) @ San Diego State (2-1, 2-1 MW)
4 PM ET, Spectrum
Vegas Line: San Diego State -10

CSD Pick: San Diego State 30, Hawai’i 27

Baylor (1-4, 1-4 Big 12) @ Texas Tech (2-5, 1-5 Big 12)
4 PM ET, FS1
Vegas Line: Pick’em

CSD Pick: Baylor 30, Texas Tech 27

#23 Northwestern (3-0 Big Ten) @ Purdue (2-0 Big Ten)

Vegas Line: Pick’em

Is this the biggest game of the week? Maybe I guess. Two unbeatens – Northwestern and Purdue – will face in a matchup to determine who will be Wisconsin’s challenger in the Big Ten West. While they may be on the road, my pick is Northwestern. The Wildcats are a coach’s team, they play the fundamentals of football right, they have an efficient, sturdy defense, and they don’t turn the ball over. Give me the Wildcats to win this one as they head into next week’s clash with Wisconsin.

CSD Pick: Northwestern 25, Purdue 21

Nevada (3-0, 3-0 MW) @ New Mexico (0-2, 0-2 MW)
6:30 PM ET, FS2
Vegas Line: Nevada -11.5

CSD Pick: Nevada 36, New Mexico 26

Arkansas (3-3 SEC) @ #6 Florida (4-1 SEC)

Vegas Line: Florida -17

Arkansas QB Feleipe Franks will get a chance to take on his former team on Saturday night as the Razorbacks will look to spoil Florida’s stroll into the College Football Playoff. There is always a letdown effect after a team wins a big game, and because of that, I do expect Arkansas to keep this closer than expected, but the Florida offense is just too good, and the Gators should win by double digits.

CSD Pick: Florida 37, Arkansas 25

#11 Oregon (1-0 Pac-12) @ Washington State (1-0 Pac-12)
Vegas Line: Oregon -8

CSD Pick: Oregon 35, Washington State 25

#19 SMU (7-1, 4-1 AAC) @ Tulsa (3-1, 3-0 AAC)
Vegas Line: Tulsa -2

CSD Pick: SMU 32, Tulsa 31

Pitt (4-4, 3-4 ACC) @ Georgia Tech (2-5, 2-4 ACC) – CANCELLED
Vegas Line: Pitt -7.5

CSD Pick: Pitt 28, Georgia Tech 18

#13 Wisconsin (1-0 Big Ten) @ Michigan (1-2 Big Ten)

7:30 PM ET, ABC
Vegas Line: Wisconsin -1

It is finally time to see Wisconsin play on a Saturday. The Badgers, who have not been able to play since October because of COVID concerns, are still the #4 team in the country in my computer model, albeit with very limited sample size. They take on a Michigan team that looks to turn their season around after a 1-2 start. It is unclear how many players Wisconsin will be down due to the outbreak, but whoever is able to play will be motivated to get back on the field, and they should win this one on the road, improving to 2-0.

CSD Pick: Wisconsin 30, Michigan 24

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Wisconsin -1

Temple (1-4, 1-4 AAC) @ UCF (4-2, 3-2 AAC)
Vegas Line: UCF -28.5

CSD Pick: UCF 41, Temple 24

Florida State (2-5, 1-5 ACC) @ NC State (4-3, 4-3 ACC)
7:30 PM ET, ACC Network
Vegas Line: NC State -7.5

CSD Pick: NC State 31, Florida State 23

South Carolina (2-4 SEC) @ Ole Miss (2-4 SEC)

7:30 PM ET, SEC Network
Vegas Line: Ole Miss -7

Another game between teams better than their records indicate. Keep in mind that if we did have a non-conference this year, both of these teams would likely be at least .500 with the cupcakes thrown in. Will Muschamp is coaching for his job, but I like the Rebels offense in this one. Ole Miss has one of the best scoring attacks in the country, and they should improve to 3-4.

CSD Pick: Ole Miss 33, South Carolina 29

UNLV (0-3, 0-3 MW) @ San Jose State (3-0, 3-0 MW)
10:30 PM ET, FS2
Vegas Line: San Jose State -16

CSD Pick: San Jose State 34, UNLV 18

Cal (0-0 Pac-12) @ Arizona State (0-1 Pac-12) – CANCELLED

10:30 PM ET, ESPN2
Vegas Line: Arizona State -4

We will finally get to see Cal play after the Golden Bears had their first game canceled last week due to COVID concerns. As for Arizona State, they played well in a 28-27 road loss to USC, in fact, I would argue they looked like the better team despite the score. ASU QB Jayden Daniels is a future star, and I expect him to lead the Sun Devils to their first win of the year

CSD Pick: Arizona State 26, Cal 24

Utah (0-0 Pac-12) @ UCLA (0-1 Pac-12) – CANCELLED
10:30 PM ET, FOX
Vegas Line: Utah -2.5

CSD Pick: Utah 36, UCLA 28

Oregon State (0-1 Pac-12) @ Washington (0-0 Pac-12)
11 PM ET, FS1
Vegas Line: Washington -13.5

CSD Pick: Washington 35, Oregon State 20

Sunday, November 15th

Cal (0-0 Pac-12) @ UCLA (0-1 Pac-12)
12 PM ET, FS1
Vegas Line: Cal -2.5

This feels like free money to me. UCLA is reeling, Cal is a legit top-25 level team. I understand that the circumstances are odd, but I’ll take the better team minus less than a field goal.

CSD Pick: Cal 27, UCLA 19

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