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Bracketology Update – Duke Is On The Bubble

In the latest update to our bracketology, Mike Krzyewski’s Duke Blue Devils check-in as an 11 seed and one of the last eight at-larges in the NCAA Tournament field, and even that may be generous.

The Blue Devils currently sit at 5-3 and are 0-2 in Q1 opportunities with only one Q2 win (@ Notre Dame on 12/16), not to mention a home loss to Michigan State that currently registers as a quadrant three shortcoming.

Now, with that being said, there is still time for the resume to improve, which is why the Blue Devils currently sit on the right side of the bubble. Duke checks in at 24th in KenPom and has five Q1 opportunities remaining, the first of which comes tonight @ Pitt, another ACC squad currently on the bubble. A loss there would drop college basketball’s most decorated program to 5-4, and likely out of the next bracketology update. For context, Duke has not missed the NCAA Tournament since 1995, when Coach K left the program midseason due to a back injury.

As of right now, we project Duke to get things back on track, but when you check this article again next Tuesday, I would not be surprised if things looked different.


Italicized – Play-in game
GREEN – Moved up one or more seed line
RED – Moved down one or more seed line
BLUE – New to bracket

Seed List

Note: The furthest left team is considered to be the highest-ranked on the seed line and the furthest right is considered to be the lowest-ranked

1 Seeds: Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, Iowa
2 Seeds: 
Villanova, Texas, Tennessee, Houston
3 Seeds: 
Wisconsin, Ohio State, Kansas, Creighton
4 Seeds:
 Clemson, Missouri, Illinois, West Virginia
5 Seeds: 
Alabama, Texas Tech, Colorado, Virginia
6 Seeds:
 UCLA, Minnesota, Oregon, Louisville
7 Seeds:
 Florida State, USC, Virginia Tech, Saint Louis
8 Seeds:
 Oklahoma State, Connecticut, LSU, Purdue
9 Seeds:
 Xavier, Boise State, Rutgers, BYU
10 Seeds: San Diego State, Arkansas, Seton Hall, Oklahoma
11 Seeds: Duke, Florida, North Carolina, Drake
12 Seeds: Richmond, Indiana, Michigan State, Stanford, Winthrop, Toledo
13 Seeds: Georgia State, South Dakota State, Furman, UAB
14 Seeds: Belmont, Abilene Christian, Liberty, Colgate
15 Seeds: Cleveland State, UC Irvine, Siena, Bryant
16 Seeds: Vermont, New Mexico State, NortheasternSouthern UtahNorfolk State, Texas Southern

Dropped Out: Syracuse, Western Kentucky, Wright State, UMBC

Bubble Watch

Last Four Byes
North Carolina
Last Four In
Michigan State
First Four Out
Utah State
Wichita State
Next Four Out
St. Bonaventure
Colorado State

Bids By Conference

Big Ten – 10 (+1 in First Eight Out)
Big 12 – 7 (0)
ACC – 7 (2)
SEC – 6 (0)
Big East – 5 (0)
Pac-12 – 5 (0)
Atlantic 10 – 2 (2)
Mountain West – 2 (2)
WCC – 2 (0)
American – 1 (1)

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