NFL Draft Prospect Breakdown: Baker Mayfield

Other Breakdowns

Quenton Nelson – 93/100
Saquon Barkley
– 92/100
Tremaine Edmunds – 89/100
Bradley Chubb – 89/100
Derwin James – 88/100
Roquan Smith – 87/100
Minkah Fitzpatrick – 87/100
Harold Landry – 85/100
Rashaan Evans – 84/100
Will Hernandez – 84/100
Sam Darnold – 83/100
Josh Rosen – 83/100
Lamar Jackson – 82/100
Marcus Davenport – 82/100
Calvin Ridley – 81/100
Josh Allen – 77/100
Leighton Vander Esch – 77/100

Stats, Awards, and Accolades

bakerrun

bkr

*All Stats via sports-reference.com*

Class: Redshirt Senior
Height: 6’1″
Weight: 215 lbs
Awards & Accolades: Heisman Trophy (2017), Davey O’Brien Award (2017), AP Player of the Year (2017), 2x Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year (2015 & 2017), Big 12 Offensive Freshman of the Year (2013), 2x First-team All-American (2015 & 2017), 3x First-team All-Big 12 (2015-2017)

Looking at Baker Mayfield’s stats, his passer rating goes up every year, which makes me think that Baker has the tools to continue developing under new coaches at the NFL level. You can not talk about Baker Mayfield’s stats without bringing up his incredible touchdown to interception ratio, which was over 7-1 during the 2017 season. Baker finished #1 in the country in yards per attempt, passing touchdowns, passer efficiency rating, and completion percentage during his senior year.

For this article, I rewatched three of Baker Mayfield’s games, @ Ohio State, vs Texas, and @ Oklahoma State. Bill Connely’s S&P+ rates Ohio State as the #8 defense in FBS, Texas as the #21 defense in FBS, and Oklahoma State as the #70 defense in FBS. I picked Ohio State and Texas because those are two of the better defenses Baker faced this year, and the Oklahoma State game featured his best statline of the year as he threw for 598 yards and two touchdowns.

Pros

Ball Placement
Arm talent
Excellent touch on the ball
Throws receivers open
Impossible to sack
Throws on the run well
Can extend a play or pick up yards on the ground

Cons

Undersized
Footwork
Winds up for throws
Inconsistent reading the field
“Happy Feet” in the pocket
Questionable as a team leader due to maturity issues

Grades

Short/Intermediate Accuracy – 9.5/10
Field Vision – 7/10
Footwork – 5.5/10
Decision-Making – 9/10
Under Pressure – 8/10
Deep Accuracy – 8.5/10
Arm Strength – 8/10
Mobility – 9.5/10

Scheme Fits

West Coast – 9/10
Vertical – 7/10
Spread – 10/10

Overall Grade: 84/100

A reminder, this where I think he should go, not where he will go, these rankings also DO NOT take into account positional importance

90+ Superstar
85+ Elite Player (Top Ten)
80+ First Round Talent
77+ Second Round Talent
74+ Third Round Talent
66+ Third Day Talent (Rounds 4-7)

10/10 Rating – Best in the class or close to it
7.5/10 Rating – Average
5/10 Rating – Poor

Without taking positional importance into account, Baker probably will be near the top ten on my big board, although I would be shocked if he falls past the top six. His decision making and footwork really bring down his overall grade, and while when Baker’s feet are set I feel he has a case to be one of the most accurate passers in the class, he sometimes gets in his own way. As far as that goes, I think the film speaks for itself. Baker Mayfield has extraordinary potential as a passer, and he has the added bonus of being able to escape pressure and extend plays with his feet. While he does sometimes struggle to read the field, when he does, his decision making is good.

A lot of debate will be made about his height, and while I would normally lean on the side of those who say it should not be a factor, it is occasionally a problem when reading the field if you can’t see where your receiver is. Especially if you happen to be facing tough pressure. The height is not a problem you can fix, but if you can calm those happy feet in the pocket and get the footwork down, I feel like you have a guy with a very good chance to start at the NFL level given his accuracy and speed.

Leave a Reply