Boston College has won exactly seven games in five of their six years under head coach Steve Addazio. They had a 3-9 blip in 2015, but haven’t had an upward deviation from that yet. It’s hard to say if BC should be happy with consistent bowls but nothing more though. When you look at programs around BC geographically, (UMass, Rutgers, UConn) maybe they should be, but it’s hard for a fanbase to feel good about consistently being just “above average”.
AJ Dillon is a star, averaging 5.3 and 4.9 yards per attempt (that second number dragged down by an ankle injury) in his first two years in college, one of the few returning players to attain first-team All-ACC honors twice.
QB Anthony Brown is back as well. He was solid last year (7.4 yards a throw) but loses three of his top four targets. WR Kobay White is back after 526 yards on a 15.9 per-catch average and the Golden Eagles add a Penn State grad transfer, Danny Dalton, at tight end.
With some big departures up front, guys like Miami transfer Hayden Mahoney or Chris’ younger brother Alex Lindstrom will have to step into big roles. With Dillon and Brown back, the offense should be solid, but a lot departs around them.
Boston College played a pretty tight rotation last year, and just three starters return and they’ve got a new coordinator, so this team will take a step back.
MLB Max Richardson is the key returner after 6.5 TFL and 2.5 sacks last year, strong-side LB Isaiah McDuffie added 3.5 more sacks and two more TFL.
The line undergoes some big changes, and it’s looking like at least one freshman will end up starting, if not two, although they do add a Clemson transfer at end, Richard Yeargin. The secondary looks similarly desolate but CB Brandon Sebastian started seven games last year, racking up eight PBUs and two picks as a freshman, a promising sign for the future.
The schedule isn’t awful, but I don’t feel great about this team. The model still has them hovering around the six-win mark due to their proven consistency in recent years, but I fear the drop off may be more sudden.
|Date||Opponent||opp. rank||Proj. Margin|
|23-Nov||at Notre Dame||10||-15.5|
Average Projected Record: 5.7 wins, 6.3 losses (3.2 wins, 4.8 losses)