#4 Penn State26
#17 Minnesota31
FINAL
#12 Baylor29
TCU23
FINAL
#2 LSU46
#3 Alabama41
FINAL
#16 Kansas State24
Texas27
FINAL
#18 Iowa22
#13 Wisconsin24
FINAL
Missouri0
#6 Georgia27
FINAL
Iowa State41
#9 Oklahoma42
FINAL
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  • 2019 Week 11 College Football Predictions For Every Game – LSU vs Alabama

2019 Week 11 College Football Predictions For Every Game – LSU vs Alabama

This post is using the AP Top 25, but you can check out the current CSD Prime Computer Rankings here.

Note: Because the CSD Prime model does not rate FCS teams, no score prediction will be made for FBS vs FCS games.

Last Week’s Picks

OVERALL RECORD

Straight Up: 480-119 (80%)
Against The Spread Best Bets: 70-59-4

BEST BETS WEEK 11

Miami (OH) (+7) @ Ohio – 7 PM ET, Wednesday, ESPN2
Oregon State (+11) vs Washington – 10:30 PM ET, Friday, FS1
Boston College (+2) vs Florida State – 12 PM ET, ACC Network
Kansas State (+7) @ Texas – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN
Louisville (+6.5) @ Miami – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN2
Virginia Tech (+3) vs Wake Forest – 3:30 PM ET, ACC Network
Louisiana Tech (-4.5) vs North Texas – 4 PM ET, Facebook Video
Kentucky (+1.5) vs Tennessee – 7:30 PM ET, SEC Network
San Jose State (+8) @ Hawai’i – 11 PM ET, Facebook Video

WEEK 11 PICKS

Kent State (3-5, 2-2 MAC) @ Toledo (5-3, 2-2 MAC)
Tuesday, November 5th at 6 PM ET on CBSSN
Vegas Line: Toledo -7.5

CSD Prime Pick: Toledo 33, Kent State 25

Ball State (4-4, 3-1 MAC) @ Western Michigan (5-4, 3-2 MAC)
Tuesday, November 5th at 7 PM ET on ESPN2
Vegas Line: Western Michigan -6.5

CSD Prime Pick: Western Michigan 32, Ball State 26

Miami (OH) (4-4, 3-1 MAC) @ Ohio (4-4, 3-1 MAC)
Wednesday, November 6th at 7 PM ET on ESPN2
Vegas Line: Ohio -7

CSD Prime Pick: Ohio 27, Miami (OH) 24

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Miami (OH) +7

Louisiana (6-2, 3-1 Sun Belt) @ Coastal Carolina (4-4, 1-3 Sun Belt)
Thursday, November 7th at 7:30 PM ET on ESPNU
Vegas Line: Louisiana -14.5

CSD Prime Pick: Louisiana 35, Coastal Carolina 24

Temple (5-3, 2-2 AAC) @ USF (4-4, 2-2 AAC)
Thursday, November 7th at 8 PM ET on ESPN
Vegas Line: Temple -2.5

CSD Prime Pick: Temple 26, USF 22

UCF (7-2, 4-1 AAC) @ Tulsa (2-7, 0-5 AAC)
Friday, November 8th at 7 PM ET on ESPN2
Vegas Line: UCF -17

CSD Prime Pick: UCF 43, Tulsa 28

Washington (5-4, 2-4 Pac-12) @ Oregon State (4-4, 3-2 Pac-12)
Friday, November 8th at 10:30 PM ET on FS1
Vegas Line: Washington -11

CSD Prime Pick: Washington 31, Oregon State 29

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Oregon State +11

Maryland (3-6, 1-5 Big Ten) @ #1 Ohio State (8-0, 5-0 Big Ten)
Saturday, November 9th at 12 PM ET on FOX
Vegas Line: Ohio State -43.5

CSD Prime Pick: Ohio State 51, Maryland 13

#4 Penn State (8-0, 5-0 Big Ten) @ #17 Minnesota (8-0, 5-0 Big Ten)

Saturday, November 9th at 12 PM ET on ABC
Vegas Line: Penn State -6.5

Minnesota takes a lot of heat in the public discourse for being the lowest-ranked undefeated power five team ever in the College Football Playoff rankings, but truth be told, I’m not really sold on either of these teams. I lean Penn State because of the speed and athleticism that the Nittany Lions posses on both sides of the field, but with the home crowd at their back and a defense unlike anything that Penn State has faced so far, I see the Gophers keeping this one close and maybe even pulling off the upset.

CSD Prime Pick: Penn State 23, Minnesota 20

Vanderbilt (2-6, 1-4 SEC) @ #10 Florida (7-2, 4-2 SEC)
Saturday, November 9th at 12 PM ET on ESPN
Vegas Line: Florida -26

CSD Prime Pick: Florida 36, Vanderbilt 11

#12 Baylor (8-0, 5-0 Big 12) @ TCU (4-4, 2-3 Big 12)

Saturday, November 9th at 12 PM ET on FS1
Vegas Line: Baylor -2.5

Two undefeateds will lose on Saturday, but we could get a third in the Big 12 where unbeaten Baylor must travel to an underrated TCU team. The Horned Frogs are 4-4 but are battle-tested, having faced an incredibly difficult schedule to this point. I’m not totally sold on Baylor right now, but even on the road I think QB Charlie Brewer in the Bears will have enough to pick up the win, but I agree with Vegas, this will be a close one.

CSD Prime Pick: Baylor 29, TCU 26

East Carolina (3-6, 0-5 AAC) @ #25 SMU (8-1, 4-1 AAC)
Saturday, November 9th at 12 PM ET on ESPNU
Vegas Line: SMU -21.5

CSD Prime Pick: SMU 44, East Carolina 25

UMass (1-8) @ Army (3-6)
Saturday, November 9th at 12 PM ET on CBSSN
Vegas Line: Army -34.5

Western Kentucky (5-4) @ Arkansas (2-7)
Saturday, November 9th at 12 PM ET on SEC Network
Vegas Line: Arkansas -1.5

CSD Prime Pick: Western Kentucky 26, Arkansas 25

Texas Tech (3-5, 1-4 Big 12) @ West Virginia (3-5, 1-4 Big 12)
Saturday, November 9th at 12 PM ET on ESPN2
Vegas Line: Texas Tech -2.5

CSD Prime Pick: West Virginia 32, Texas Tech 30

Purdue (3-6, 2-4 Big Ten) @ Northwestern (1-7, 0-6 Big Ten)
Saturday, November 9th at 12 PM ET on BTN
Vegas Line: Northwestern -2

CSD Prime Pick: Northwestern 20, Purdue 19

Florida State (4-5, 3-4 ACC) @ Boston College (5-4, 3-3 ACC)
Saturday, November 9th at 12 PM ET on ACC Network
Vegas Line: Florida State -2

CSD Prime Pick: Boston College 31, Florida State 25

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Boston College +2

Georgia Tech (2-6, 1-4 ACC) @ Virginia (6-3, 4-2 ACC)
Saturday, November 9th at 12:30 PM ET on ACC Network Extra
Vegas Line: Virginia -15

CSD Prime Pick: Virginia 33, Georgia Tech 19

UTSA (3-5, 2-2 C-USA) @ Old Dominion (1-8, 0-5 C-USA)
Saturday, November 9th at 2 PM ET on ESPN3
Vegas Line: Old Dominion -3.5

CSD Prime Pick: Old Dominion 23, UTSA 19

Charlotte (4-5, 2-3 C-USA) @ UTEP (1-7, 0-5 C-USA)
Saturday, November 9th at 3 PM ET on ESPN+
Vegas Line: Charlotte -13

CSD Prime Pick: Charlotte 38, UTEP 24

Stanford (4-4, 3-3 Pac-12) @ Colorado (3-6, 1-5 Pac-12)
Saturday, November 9th at 3 PM ET on Pac-12 Network
Vegas Line: Stanford -3

CSD Prime Pick: Stanford 29, Colorado 26

South Alabama (1-7, 0-4 Sun Belt) @ Texas State (2-6, 1-3 Sun Belt)
Saturday, November 9th at 3 PM ET on ESPN3
Vegas Line: Texas State -7

CSD Prime Pick: Texas State 26, South Alabama 24

#2 LSU (8-0, 4-0 SEC) @ #3 Alabama (8-0, 5-0 SEC)

Saturday, November 9th at 3:30 PM ET on CBS
Vegas Line: Alabama -6

The biggest game of the college football regular season will revolve around one question: what is the state of Tua Tagovailoa’s ankle? Tua can be a difference-maker against an LSU secondary that struggled this year against the best quarterbacks they’ve faced. Texas QB Sam Ehlinger dropped over 400 yards through the air on the Tigers in a loss earlier this year, and I think Tua could probably beat that mark if he’s healthy.

This will be a fast-paced, shootout type of game, very different from LSU-Alabama clashes we’ve seen in the past. LSU QB Joe Burrow will get his chance at a Heisman moment, and he’s proven he can do it against the best, dominating both Auburn and Florida’s great defenses earlier this year.

As great as Burrow has been, though, I’m taking Alabama. I’ve been on the ‘Bama hype train all season long. No team has impressed me more while watching them than the Crimson Tide, and while the resume might not be there, the eye test certainly is, along with most computer models. I’m going to bank on Tua being healthy, and take the Tide, at home, to win this one fairly comfortably.

CSD Prime Pick: Alabama 35, LSU 25

#16 Kansas State (6-2, 3-2 Big 12) @ Texas (5-3, 3-2 Big 12)

Saturday, November 9th at 3:30 PM ET on ESPN
Vegas Line: Texas -7

This was the line I saw this week that I was the most confused by. Texas has not impressed me this year, the Longhorns have struggled in the secondary and in pass rush, and they run into a Kansas State team that I’ve been high on since the get-go. Give me the Chris Klieman system, led by QB Skylar Thompson, to walk into Austin and leave with a victory.

CSD Prime Pick: Kansas State 33, Texas 32

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Kansas State +7

#19 Wake Forest (7-1, 3-1 ACC) @ Virginia Tech (5-3, 2-2 ACC)
Saturday, November 9th at 3:30 PM ET on ACC Network
Vegas Line: Wake Forest -3

CSD Prime Pick: Virginia Tech 30, Wake Forest 27

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Virginia Tech +3

UConn (2-7, 0-5 AAC) @ #20 Cincinnati (7-1, 4-0 AAC)
Saturday, November 9th at 3:30 PM ET on CBSSN
Vegas Line: Cincinnati -35

CSD Prime Pick: Cincinnati 45, UConn 14

Georgia Southern (5-3, 3-1 Sun Belt) @ Troy (3-5, 1-3 Sun Belt)
Saturday, November 9th at 3:30 PM ET on ESPN+
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern -3

CSD Prime Pick: Troy 27, Georgia Southern 26

Louisville (5-3, 3-2 ACC) @ Miami (5-4, 3-3 ACC)
Saturday, November 9th at 3:30 PM ET on ESPN2
Vegas Line: Miami -6.5

CSD Prime Pick: Miami 27, Louisville 24

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Louisville +6.5

USC (5-4, 4-2 Pac-12) @ Arizona State (5-3, 2-3 Pac-12)
Saturday, November 9th at 3:30 PM ET on ABC
Vegas Line: Arizona State -1.5

CSD Prime Pick: Arizona State 31, USC 29

UAB (6-2, 3-1 C-USA) @ Southern Mississippi (5-3, 3-1 C-USA)
Saturday, November 9th at 3:30 PM ET on NFL Network
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi -7.5

CSD Prime Pick: Southern Mississippi 27, UAB 21

Illinois (5-4, 3-3 Big Ten) @ Michigan State (4-4, 2-3 Big Ten)
Saturday, November 9th at 3:30 PM ET on FS1
Vegas Line: Michigan State -14.5

CSD Prime Pick: Michigan State 28, Illinois 18

#18 Iowa (6-2, 3-2 Big Ten) @ #13 Wisconsin (6-2, 3-2 Big Ten)

Saturday, November 9th at 4 PM ET on FOX
Vegas Line: Wisconsin -9.5

This one has been flying under the radar but is essentially an elimination game in the Big Ten West race. Iowa has quietly had a really great year, but they have to travel to face a feisty Badgers team ready to get back on track after recent losses to Illinois and Ohio State. This will be a low-scoring, scrappy fight, but the Wisconsin defense will carry the day and lead the Badgers to a victory.

CSD Prime Pick: Wisconsin 23, Iowa 17

New Mexico State (0-8) @ Ole Miss (3-6)
Saturday, November 9th at 4 PM ET on SEC Network
Vegas Line: Ole Miss -29

CSD Prime Pick: Ole Miss 46, New Mexico State 20

North Texas (4-5, 3-2 C-USA) @ Louisiana Tech (7-1, 4-0 C-USA)
Saturday, November 9th at 4 PM ET on Facebook Video
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech -4.5

CSD Prime Pick: Louisiana Tech 39, North Texas 29

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Louisiana Tech -4.5

Georgia State (6-2, 3-1 Sun Belt) @ UL Monroe (3-5, 2-2 Sun Belt)
Saturday, November 9th at 5 PM ET on ESPN+
Vegas Line: Georgia State -2.5

CSD Prime Pick: Georgia State 40, UL Monroe 34

FIU (5-4, 3-3 C-USA) @ Florida Atlantic (6-3, 4-1 C-USA)
Saturday, November 9th at 6 PM ET on Stadium
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic -10

CSD Prime Pick: Florida Atlantic 40, FIU 26

Missouri (5-3, 2-2 SEC) @ #6 Georgia (7-1, 4-1 SEC)

Saturday, November 9th at 7 PM ET on ESPN
Vegas Line: Georgia -16.5

The slow march back to the playoff picture continues for Georgia in primetime against Missouri. I don’t think this one will ever really be in doubt, it should be a statement win for the Bulldogs to prove that they are truly one of the six best teams in the nation.

CSD Prime Pick: Georgia 31, Missouri 13

Washington State (4-4, 1-4 Pac-12) @ Cal (4-4, 1-4 Pac-12)
Saturday, November 9th at 7 PM ET on Pac-12 Network
Vegas Line: Washington State -8

CSD Prime Pick: Washington State 29, Cal 20

Utah State (4-4, 3-1 MW) @ Fresno State (4-4, 2-2 MW)
Saturday, November 9th at 7 PM ET on CBSSN
Vegas Line: Fresno State -5.5

CSD Prime Pick: Fresno State 33, Utah State 29

Appalachian State (7-1) @ South Carolina (4-5)
Saturday, November 9th at 7 PM ET on ESPN2
Vegas Line: South Carolina -6

CSD Prime Pick: South Carolina 26, Appalachian State 22

#5 Clemson (9-0, 6-0 ACC) @ NC State (4-4, 1-3 ACC)
Saturday, November 9th at 7:30 PM ET on ABC
Vegas Line: Clemson -32.5

CSD Prime Pick: Clemson 46, NC State 14

#15 Notre Dame (6-2) @ Duke (4-4)
Saturday, November 9th at 7:30 PM ET on ACC Network
Vegas Line: Notre Dame -8

CSD Prime Pick: Notre Dame 30, Duke 21

Tennessee (4-5, 2-3 SEC) @ Kentucky (4-4, 2-4 SEC)
Saturday, November 9th at 7:30 PM ET on SEC Network
Vegas Line: Tennessee -1.5

CSD Prime Pick: Kentucky 23, Tennessee 19

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Kentucky +1.5

Liberty (6-3) @ BYU (4-4)
Saturday, November 9th at 7:30 PM ET on ESPNU
Vegas Line: BYU -17

CSD Prime Pick: BYU 40, Liberty 22

Iowa State (5-3, 3-2 Big 12) @ #9 Oklahoma (7-1, 4-1 Big 12)

Saturday, November 9th at 8 PM ET on FOX
Vegas Line: Oklahoma -15

The headliner of a weak primetime slate is probably Iowa State traveling to Norman to take on Oklahoma. Matt Campbell has played Oklahoma close in recent years, including the upset win that put his name on the map back in 2017. I don’t think we’ve got much of a shot of an upset here, though. The Sooners are already behind the eight ball in the College Football Playoff race and can not afford a loss, so they’ll be on their A-game here. Give me OU by double-digits.

CSD Prime Pick: Oklahoma 40, Iowa State 29

Wyoming (6-2, 3-1 MW) @ #22 Boise State (7-1, 4-0 MW)
Saturday, November 9th at 10:15 PM ET on ESPN
Vegas Line: Boise State -14

CSD Prime Pick: Boise State 28, Wyoming 18

Nevada (5-4, 2-3 MW) @ San Diego State (7-1, 4-1 MW)
Saturday, November 9th at 10:30 PM ET on ESPN2
Vegas Line: San Diego State -17

CSD Prime Pick: San Diego State 26, Nevada 12

San Jose State (4-5, 1-4 MW) @ Hawai’i (5-4, 2-3 MW)
Saturday, November 9th at 11 PM ET on Facebook Video
Vegas Line: Hawai’i -8

CSD Prime Pick: Hawai’i 42, San Jose State 38

☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – San Jose State +8

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