College Football Weekly Picks – Now Updated For Week Four!

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Welcome to the hub for your 2018 College Football Weekly Picks! This page will be updated as each new week comes with my predictions for every game that week. Any against the spread best bets (which hit almost 60% last year!) will also be listed here. Another fun feature that I like to incorporate is my tiered games. Many times I’ve heard somebody ask me what the “big games” are this week, and consider this your one-stop shop for that. I divide every FBS game each week into four tiers: the must-watch games, the maybe watch games, all other FBS vs FBS games, and the FBS vs FCS games.

Note: This is the average result of thousands of simulations for each game, so the scores will look a little wonky.

Year To Date Straight Up Record: 182-48 (79%)
Last Week’s Straight Up Record: 52-13 (80%)
Year To Date ATS Best Bets Record: 15-11 (+3.25 units including fees)
Last Week’s ATS Best Bets Record: 6-5 (+0.7 units including fees)
Year To Date Moneyline Upset Picks: 11-10 (+5.42 units including fees)
Last Week’s Moneyline Upset Picks: 5-3 (+4.46 units including fees)

Q: What is a unit?
A: Your unit is the amount you bet on each game, e.g., if you bet 10$ on each game with a +2 unit margin, you profit 20$, if you bet 1,000$ on each game with that same margin, you profit 2,000$

Note: All ATS picks are assuming a .95 unit gain on correct picks and a one unit loss on incorrect picks. Upset picks vary and the best odds are taken from various online bookies via oddshark.com

Week Four Predictions

ATS Best Bets

Temple (-6.5) vs Tulsa – 7:30 PM ET on Thursday
Akron (+20) @ Iowa State – 12 PM ET
Western Kentucky (+3.5) @ Ball State – 3 PM ET
FIU (+27) @ Miami – 3:30 PM ET
Kansas State (+17) @ West Virginia – 3:30 PM ET
Army (+31) @ Oklahoma – 7 PM ET
New Mexico State (-2.5) @ UTEP – 7:30 PM ET
Arizona State (+18) @ Washington – 10:30 PM ET

Tier One Games (Must-Watch)

Washington State (3-0) @ USC (1-2, 0-1 Pac-12) – 10:30 PM ET on Friday 9/21, ESPN

These are two teams that I think the country as a whole are pretty down on but are still floating up near the top 30-40 of my computer rankings. It doesn’t really need to be said, but USC absolutely needs this win, and that is why despite them disappointing me the past two weeks when I picked them to upset Stanford and Texas, I’m sticking with the Trojans. The defense has been ok, and they should be able to contain the deadly Washington State passing attack. My biggest concern is the Trojan offense, especially the run game. With Ronald Jones now gone in the NFL, USC has not been able to respond anywhere near to the effect that teams like Penn State, LSU, and San Diego State have so far this year when losing NFL backs. The past two games were on the road, and this one will be at home for USC so I am picking the Trojans, hoping they’ll be motivated coming off of back-to-back losses, but I am by no means confident about it.

Prediction: USC 32, Washington State 29

#2Georgia (3-0, 1-0 SEC) @ Missouri (3-0) – 12 PM ET, ESPN

Missouri has taken care of business the first three weeks, including a road victory over Purdue last week, and they have slowly crept up to the top 40 in my model. Georgia on the other hand, has been pretty much perfect, racking up 135 combined points over their first three games, and allowing just 24 over that same span, including a 41-17 win over a South Carolina team that I see as roughly an equal to Missouri. I don’t expect this game to be quite that much of a blowout, but Jake Fromm, who has been excellent thus far (80% completion rate, six touchdowns, 10.4 YPA, just one interception) will lead the Bulldogs to a convincing, double digit victory that won’t be close after halftime.

Prediction: Georgia 39, Missouri 27

#22Texas A&M (2-1) @ #1Alabama (3-0, 1-0 SEC) – 3:30 PM ET, CBS

My model likes Texas A&M even more than the pollsters, the Aggies are up at #17 in the most recent update to the model, but Alabama is just such far and away the best team in the country that even a top 20 team has practically no shot at walking into Tuscaloosa and coming out with a victory. I talked about how Georgia has outscored their opponents 135-24, well Alabama has outscored their’s 170-28, and that is without an FCS opponent on the docket (although Louisville is pretty close this year). Tua Tagovailoa has put up an incredible 12.9 YPA, a 72% completion rate, eight touchdowns, and ZERO interceptions this year. This should be Alabama’s toughest test yet, but they will still win by 20.

Prediction: Alabama 43, Texas A&M 20

South Carolina (1-1, 0-1 SEC) @ Vanderbilt (2-1) – 4 PM ET, SEC Network

You may be surprised to see this game on the tier one list, but despite each team already having dropped a game, the model sees this as a top 35 vs top 35 matchup, and those are hard to come by, it also expects this game to practically be a coin flip so it should be entertaining down to the final minutes. Vanderbilt probably should have beaten Notre Dame last week, but turnovers and giving Brandon Wimbush all the time in the world to make plays cost them. It is hard for me to put my trust in either team here, and the model actually gives Vandy a slight edge, but I will have to disagree and go with the South Carolina squad that didn’t have to play last week because of the hurricane. Jake Bentley will rebound from a poor performance in week two, and the Gamecocks will win in a squeaker.

Prediction: South Carolina 25, Vanderbilt 21

#17TCU (2-1) @ Texas (2-1) – 4:30 PM ET, FOX

Texas is not back, but with a win here against a team ranked 10th in the country in my model, you could start making that case. The commanding victory over USC may have quelled any thoughts of pushing Tom Herman out, but a win here over Gary Patterson in front of the home crowd will wipe the memory of the Maryland loss out of the minds of many Texas fans. The problem, TCU looked really good last week, giving Ohio State all they could handle and actually moving up in the model despite a loss. The TCU defense may be one of the best in the country, and I don’t really think I could put that same faith in this UT D. I don’t expect either team to crack 30, but my lack of faith in the Longhorns’ defense is leading me to pick TCU on the road here, but it will be a close one.

Prediction: TCU 29, Texas 25

#14Mississippi State (3-0) @ Kentucky (3-0, 1-0 SEC) – 7 PM ET, ESPN2

This is the type of game where you could definitely make a case for an upset, Snell and the Wildcats already pulled one two weeks ago against Florida, but you could also make the case for Mississippi State absolutely wiping the floor with Kentucky, and that is the side I’m taking. Kentucky QB Terry Wilson has already thrown three interceptions this year, and the Wildcats as a whole are averaging three turnovers per game in their two games against FBS opponents so far this year, and they haven’t faced a defense anywhere near the caliber of this Bulldogs squad. MSU has held opponents to under nine points a game so far this year and on the back of Benny Snell, big blue should top that number, but even with an NFL caliber back, I don’t see how this Kentucky offense is going to be able to keep up with dual-threat sensation Nick Fitzgerald. Give me Mississippi State by double digits.

Prediction: Mississippi State 35, Kentucky 20

#7Stanford (3-0, 1-0 Pac-12) @ #20Oregon (3-0) – 8 PM ET, ABC

Oregon has been a pretty fake top 25 team so far this year, and they fell out of my computer’s top 30 after failing to match the spread against San Jose State by nearly 30 points. Of course, AP voters didn’t care and continued moving the Ducks up in front of their blockbuster matchup with Stanford which Vegas sees as practically a tossup. It’s hard for me to get a read on Oregon because they’ve played three cupcakes so far, so I am putting my trust in a Stanford team that has proven themselves with commanding wins over USC and San Diego State. We aren’t sure if Bryce Love will be 100%, but even if he isn’t at full strength, expect the Heisman contender to make up for some early season blunders and easily hit triple digits en route to a tight victory that will be a lot lower scoring than you might think of when talking about Oregon.

Prediction: Stanford 30, Oregon 28

#18Wisconsin (2-1) @ Iowa (3-0) – 8:30 PM ET, FOX

My model has both of these teams a little higher than the AP poll, Iowa at #23, and Wisconsin at #15 despite the home loss to a pretty average BYU team last week. That BYU game wasn’t a fluke though, the Cougars deserved to win. Alex Hornibrook had a tough game, and the Badgers, who might have the best offensive line in the country, couldn’t give him any time to throw. Defensively, the problems continued as the pass rush did practically nothing for WU. That’s not going to get much better as preseason All-American Andrew Van Ginkel is listed as questionable for this game. BUT. This offensive line is still as good as some NFL lines, and they will bounce back. With a Heisman contender at running back, I’ve got Jonathan Taylor and the Badgers walking into Kinnick and stealing a win late in the fourth quarter in what has the potential to be the top game of the day.

Prediction: Wisconsin 28, Iowa 23

Tier Two Games (Maybe Watch)

Florida Atlantic (2-1) @ #16UCF (2-0) – 7 PM ET on Friday 9/21, ESPN

Prediction: UCF 46, Florida Atlantic 32

#8Notre Dame (3-0) @ Wake Forest (2-1) – 12 PM ET, ABC

Prediction: Notre Dame 32, Wake Forest 27

Nebraska (0-2) @ #19Michigan (2-1) – 12 PM ET, FS1

Prediction: Michigan 36, Nebraska 15

#23Boston College (3-0) @ Purdue (0-3) – 12 PM ET, ESPN2

Prediction: Boston College 34, Purdue 31

Buffalo (3-0) @ Rutgers (1-2) – 12 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Buffalo 30, Rutgers 22

Minnesota (3-0) @ Maryland (2-1) – 12 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Maryland 21, Minnesota 20

Louisville (2-1) @ Virginia (2-1) – 12:30 PM ET, ACC RSN

Prediction: Louisville 27, Virginia 26 <- UPSET ALERT

#3Clemson (3-0) @ Georgia Tech (1-2, 0-1 ACC) – 3:30 PM ET, ABC

Prediction: Clemson 36, Georgia Tech 20

Kansas State (2-1) @ #12West Virginia (2-0) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: West Virginia 35, Kansas State 28 <- BEST BET ALERT

Kansas (2-1) @ Baylor (2-1) – 3:30 PM ET, FS1

Prediction: Baylor 21, Kansas 15

Louisiana Tech (2-0) @ #6LSU (3-0) – 7 PM ET, ESPNU

Prediction: LSU 35, Louisiana Tech 19

Texas Tech (2-1) @ #15Oklahoma State (3-0) – 7 PM ET, FS1

Prediction: Oklahoma State 49, Texas Tech 34

Troy (2-1) @ UL Monroe (2-1) – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Troy 38, UL Monroe 22

NC State (2-0) @ Marshall (2-0) – 7 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: NC State 28, Marshall 24

Florida (2-1, 0-1 SEC) @ Tennessee (2-1) – 7 PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: Florida 26, Tennessee 22

#24Michigan State (1-1) @ Indiana (3-0) – 7:30 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Michigan State 27, Indiana 22

Arizona State (2-1) @ #10Washington (2-1, 1-0 Pac-12) – 10:30 PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: Washington 33, Arizona State 21 <- BEST BET ALERT

Tier Three Games (FBS vs FBS)

Tulsa (1-2) @ Temple (1-2) – 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, 9/20, ESPN

Prediction: Temple 33, Tulsa 20 <- BEST BET ALERT

#10Penn State (3-0) @ Illinois (2-1) – 9 PM ET on Friday, 9/21, FS1

Prediction: Penn State 41, Illinois 14

Kent State (1-2) @ Ole Miss (2-1) – 12 PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: Ole Miss 45, Kent State 22

Akron (2-0) @ Iowa State (0-2) – 12 PM ET, FSN

Prediction: Iowa State 30, Akron 17 <- BEST BET ALERT

Ohio (1-1) @ Cincinnati (3-0) – 12 PM ET, ESPNU

Prediction: Cincinnati 29, Ohio 25

Nevada (2-1) @ Toledo (1-1) – 12 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: Toledo 44, Nevada 29

Navy (2-1, 1-0 American) @ SMU (0-3) – 12 PM ET, ESPN News

Prediction: Navy 35, SMU 22

Pittsburgh (2-1, 1-0 ACC) @ North Carolina (0-2) – 12:20 PM ET, ACC Network

Prediction: Pittsburgh 28, North Carolina 21

Western Michigan (1-2) @ Georgia State (1-2) – 2 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Western Michigan 33, Georgia State 26

Miami (OH) (0-3) @ Bowling Green (1-2) – 3 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Miami (OH) 29, Bowling Green 23

Western Kentucky (0-3) @ Ball State (1-2) – 3 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Western Kentucky 27, Ball State 22 <- UPSET ALERT, BEST BET ALERT

Tulane (1-2) @ #4Ohio State (3-0) – 3:30 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Ohio State 51, Tulane 17

#13Virginia Tech (2-0) @ Old Dominion (0-3) – 3:30 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: Virginia Tech 40, Old Dominion 13

Florida Intl (2-1) @ #21Miami (2-1) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN2

Prediction: Miami 39, Florida Intl 18 <- BEST BET ALERT

Charlotte (2-1) @ UMass (1-3) – 3:30 PM ET, Eleven Sports

Prediction: UMass 30, Charlotte 21

Northern Illinois (1-2) @ Florida State (1-2) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPNU

Prediction: Florida State 25, Northern Illinois 19

Arizona (1-2) @ Oregon State (1-2) – 4 PM ET, Pac-12 Network

Prediction: Arizona 37, Oregon State 27

UConn (1-2) @ Syracuse (3-0) – 4 PM ET, ESPN News

Prediction: Syracuse 47, UConn 19

North Texas (3-0) @ Liberty (1-1) – 6 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: North Texas 38, Liberty 23

Army (2-1) @ #5Oklahoma (3-0) – 7 PM ET, PPV

Prediction: Oklahoma 47, Army 23 <- BEST BET ALERT

Rice (1-2) @ Southern Mississippi (1-1) – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Southern Mississippi 37, Rice 20

Texas State (1-2) @ UTSA (0-3) – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: UTSA 31, Texas State 21

UNLV (2-1) @ Arkansas State (2-1) – 7 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction; Arkansas State 38, UNLV 29

Coastal Carolina (2-1) @ Louisiana (1-1) – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Louisiana 31, Coastal Carolina 27

Arkansas (1-2) @ #9Auburn (2-1) – 7:30 PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: Auburn 41, Arkansas 16

New Mexico State (0-4) @ UTEP (0-3) – 7:30 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: New Mexico State 23, UTEP 15 <- BEST BET ALERT

East Carolina (1-1) @ South Florida (3-0) – 8 PM ET, ESPN News

Prediction: South Carolina 43, East Carolina 23

South Alabama (1-2) @ Memphis (2-1) – 8 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Memphis 48, South Alabama 20

Air Force (1-1) @ Utah State (2-1) – 10:15 PM ET, ESPN2

Prediction: Utah State 35, Air Force 25

Eastern Michigan (2-1) @ San Diego State (2-1) – 10:30 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: San Diego State 32, Eastern Michigan 21

Tier Four Games (FBS vs FCS)

Illinois State @ Colorado State (1-3) – 3 PM ET, AT&T Sports Network

Prediction: Colorado State

Maine @ Central Michigan (0-3) – 3 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Central Michigan

Gardner-Webb @ Appalachian State (1-1) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Appalachian State

North Carolina Central @ Duke (3-0) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Duke

McNeese @ #25BYU (2-1) – 6 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: BYU

Texas Southern @ Houston (2-1) – 8 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Houston

Duquesne @ Hawai’i (3-1) – 11:59 PM ET, Stadium App

Prediction: Hawai’i

Week Three Predictions

ATS Best Bets

Rutgers (+3) @ Kansas – 12 PM ET
UAB (+3.5) vs Tulane – 1 PM ET
Duke (+6) @ Baylor – 3:30 PM ET
Central Michigan (+14) @ Northern Illinois – 3:30 PM ET
Colorado State (+20.5) @ Florida – 4 PM ET
UTSA (+21.5) @ Kansas State – 4 PM ET
Ohio (+7) vs* Virginia – 4:30 PM ET
San Jose State (+41.5) @ Oregon – 5 PM ET
Arkansas State (+1.5) @ Tulsa – 7 PM ET
Texas State (+11.5) @ South Alabama – 7 PM ET
USC (+3) @ Texas – 8 PM ET

All Rankings are via AP top 25 poll. You can see my computer’s 1-130 rankings here.

Currently only updated for the weekday games, the rest of the schedule will be uploaded later in the week.wat

Tier One Games (Must-Watch)

#12LSU (2-0) @ #7Auburn (2-0) – 3:30 PM ET, CBS

This conference opener got much more interesting after both teams pulled off big week one neutral site victories against top-15 teams. LSU’s 27-24 win last year may have kept Auburn out of the college football playoff, so the Tigers will be out looking for revenge on their home turf. While I think I’ve been higher on Joe Burrow than the consensus, he certainly hasn’t lit the world on fire, the OSU transfer played well against Miami, but his stats actually took a bit of a hit against FCS competition last week. This game is going to center around the quarterback battle given that both squads have excellent defenses and run games, and with home field advantage, there is no way you are going to convince me that Burrow, as promising as he was against Miami, is going to outduel NFL prospect Jarrett Stidham. Expect a low scoring affair, and a couple Burrow picks late in the second half to seal LSU’s fate in what may be the most entertaining game of the week to crown Alabama’s top contender in the SEC West.

Prediction: Auburn 26, LSU 20

#14West Virginia (2-0) @ NC State (2-0) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPNU

CANCELLED

#17Boise State (2-0) @ #24Oklahoma State (2-0) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN

Both of these teams have been brilliant so far, winning their games by a combined score of 231-57. While neither team played an opponent that was ranked in the top half of my rankings, those numbers are impressive none the less and this should be a shootout between two awesome offenses as Boise will get a chance to show what they can do against a high-level power five opponent on the road. A Bronco victory will almost assuredly put Boise in control of their own destiny for a New Year’s Six bowl as the G5 representative. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves though, Oklahoma State QB Taylor Cornelius has been incredibly efficient through two starts, averaging 9.71 YPA and throwing at a 67% completion rate. To add to that, the crown jewel of the Cowboy offense, Justice Hill, has rested most of the first two games, rushing just 19 times (and averaging 8.1 yards per carry while doing it). That isn’t to sell Boise short, in fact, Brett Rypien has emerged as a Heisman darkhorse with his 11.9 YPA and 73% completion rate, and I’d much rather be Boise on the defensive side of the ball. My model favors Bryan Haskin’s team by 1.5 points on a neutral field, but this isn’t a neutral field, and I expect the home crowd in Stillwater to carry the Pokes to a tight victory.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 39, Boise State 36

#1Alabama (2-0) @ Ole Miss (2-0) – 7 PM ET, ESPN

I’ve watched Ole Miss a lot this year, their week one game against Texas Tech was during a noon time slot that wasn’t too great, and they looked terrific. Last week, after Georgia killed South Carolina, many, including me, flipped over to the SEC Network to see the Rebels in a shootout with Southern Illinois. Matt Luke’s team turned the jets on in the second half, winning 76-41, but the defense was just atrocious for the first 30 minutes. Alabama, on the other hand, cruised over an Arkansas State team that could crack the top-50 this year after doing the same to Louisville in week one. Jordan Ta’amu and his excellent wide receiving core will probably put up more points on the Tide than Louisville and Arkansas State combined, but they won’t be able to keep pace with Damien Harris and Tua Tagovailoa, expect Alabama to go for at least 50 points for the third straight week and cruise to a victory.

Prediction: Alabama 50, Ole Miss 24

#4Ohio State (2-0) vs #15TCU (2-0) in Arlington, TX – 8 PM ET, ABC

College Gameday will be live from Arlington, TX for this neutral site top-15 clash between two powers. Ohio State just really likes testing itself against Big 12 teams it seems, after they went toe-to-toe with Oklahoma the past two years, the Buckeyes have moved on to TCU. The first two games of the year have been absolutely perfect for OSU, cruising to victories over Oregon State and Rutgers, but now the real test comes as they will have to travel to Texas to face the Horned Frogs of TCU. While Oregon State is probably the worst team in the power five and Rutgers, while improved, still isn’t setting the world on fire, the OSU offense has put up an incredible 1,300 yards in those two games. TCU on the other hand, took a while to get going vs SMU last week, maybe you can chalk it up to the weather delay, but if they don’t put on the gas from the gun this week, the Horned Frogs are going to get killed, because Ohio State will.

Prediction: Ohio State 38, TCU 24

#10Washington (1-1) @ Utah (2-0) – 10 PM ET, ESPN

This is certainly the most underrated matchup of the weekend, and despite the lack of focus on it (#EASTCOASTBIAS) this is one of those ten eastern games that even the non-hardcore college football fans should stay up for. Both of these teams have faced one FBS opponent this year, and neither was able to put up 20 points, Washington scoring 16 against Auburn and Utah putting a 17 on the scoreboard @ Northern Illinois. That is to say, expect a slow start in this one as both defenses look to lock down the opposing offense (both teams also held their opponents under 20 in their lone FBS game). Expect this one to be tight late, and then for all-time Washington rushing leader Myles Gaskin to take control, racking up over 100 yards and two touchdowns in a hard-fought, single possession victory over the Utes.

Prediction: Washington 30, Utah 22

Tier Two Games (Maybe-Watch)

Boston College (2-0) @ Wake Forest (2-0) – 5:30 PM ET on Thursday, 9/13, ESPN

Prediction: Boston College 29, Wake Forest 21

#5Oklahoma (2-0) @ Iowa State (0-1) – 12 PM ET, ABC

Prediction: Oklahoma 37, Iowa State 17

#18UCF (2-0) @ North Carolina (0-2) – 12 PM ET, ESPNU

CANCELLED

#21Miami (1-1) @ Toledo (1-0) – 12 PM ET, ESPN2

Prediction: Miami 32, Toledo 28

Troy (1-1) @ Nebraska (0-1) – 12 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Nebraska 27, Troy 23

Florida State (1-1) @ Syracuse (2-0) – 12 PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: Florida State 27, Syracuse 25

Rutgers (1-1) @ Kansas (1-1) – 12 PM ET, FSN

Prediction: Rutgers 20, Kansas 16 <- UPSET ALERT, BEST BET ALERT

Georgia Tech (1-1) @ Pittsburgh (1-1) – 12:30 PM ET, ACC RSN

Prediction: Pittsburgh 28, Georgia Tech 27

Vanderbilt (2-0) @ #8Notre Dame (2-0) – 2:30 PM ET, NBC

Prediction: Notre Dame 27, Vanderbilt 17

Duke (2-0) @ Baylor (2-0) – 3:30 PM ET, FS1

Prediction: Duke 26, Baylor 25 <- BEST BET ALERT & UPSET ALERT

North Texas (2-0) @ Arkansas (1-1) – 4 PM ET, SEC Network Alternate

Prediction: Arkansas 32, North Texas 30

Houston (2-0) @ Texas Tech (1-1) – 4:15 PM ET, FOX

Prediction: Houston 33, Texas Tech 30

Ohio (1-0) vs Virginia (1-1) in Nashville, TN – 4:30 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Ohio 24, Virginia 18 <- BEST BET ALERT & UPSET ALERT

Arkansas State (1-1) @ Tulsa (1-1) – 7 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: Arkansas State 37, Tulsa 28 <- BEST BET ALERT & UPSET ALERT

Missouri (2-0) @ Purdue (0-2) – 7:30 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Missouri 36, Purdue 26

Marshall (2-0) @ South Carolina (1-1) – 7:30 PM ET, ESPNU

CANCELLED

#22USC (1-1) @ Texas (1-1) – 8 PM ET, FOX

Prediction: USC 31, Texas 27 <- BEST BET ALERT & UPSET ALERT

#23Arizona State (2-0) @ San Diego State (1-1) – 10:30 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: Arizona State 27, San Diego State 23

Fresno State (1-1) @ UCLA (0-2) – 10:30 PM ET, FS1

Prediction: Fresno State 28, UCLA 22

Tier Three Games (FBS vs FBS)

Old Dominion (0-2, 0-1 C-USA) @ Charlotte (1-1) – 4 PM ET on Thursday, 9/13, ESPN3

Prediction: Old Dominion 27, Charlotte 24

Georgia State (1-1) @ Memphis (1-1) – 7 PM ET on Friday, 9/14, ESPN

Prediction: Memphis 37, Georgia State 15

Georgia Southern (2-0) @ #2Clemson (2-0) – 12 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Clemson 42, Georgia Southern 13

Kent State (1-1) @ #11Penn State – 12 PM ET, FS1

Prediction: Penn State 41, Kent State 7

Hawai’i (3-0) @ Army (1-1) – 12 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: Army 32, Hawai’i 24

Ball State (1-1) @ Indiana (2-0) – 12 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Indiana 29, Ball State 12

Temple (0-2) @ Maryland (2-0) – 12 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Maryland 30, Temple 14

UTEP (0-2) @ Tennessee (1-1) – 12 PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: Tennessee 31, UTEP 7

East Carolina (1-1) @ #13Virginia Tech (2-0) – 12:20 PM ET, ACC Network or ESPN3

CANCELLED

Tulane (1-1) @ UAB (1-1) – 1 PM ET, Stadium

Prediction: UAB 30, Tulane 26 <- UPSET ALERT & BEST BET ALERT

BYU (1-1) @ #6Wisconsin (2-0) – 3:30 PM ET, ABC

Prediction: Wisconsin 38, BYU 14

SMU (0-2) @ #19Michigan (1-1) – 3:30 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Michigan 42, SMU 11

Southern Mississippi (1-1) @ Appalachian State (1-1) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN+

CANCELLED

Miami (OH) (0-2) @ Minnesota (2-0) – 3:30 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Minnesota 27, Miami (OH) 18

Central Michigan (0-2) @ Northern Illinois (0-2) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Northern Illinois 29, Central Michigan 21 <- BEST BET ALERT

South Florida (2-0) @ Illinois (2-0) – 3:30 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: South Florida 35, Illinois 22

UTSA (0-2) @ Kansas State (1-1) – 4 PM ET, FSN

Prediction: Kansas State 31, UTSA 16 <- BEST BET ALERT

Colorado State (1-2) @ Florida (1-1) – 4 PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: Florida 34, Colorado State 21 <- BEST BET ALERT

San Jose State (0-2) @ #20Oregon (2-0) – 5 PM ET, PAC-12 Network

Prediction: Oregon 47, San Jose State 13 <- BEST BET ALERT

Texas State (1-1) @ South Alabama (0-2) – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: South Alabama 25, Texas State 20 <- BEST BET ALEET

Eastern Michigan (2-0) @ Buffalo (2-0) – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Buffalo 34, Eastern Michigan 28

Oregon State (1-1) @ Nevada (1-1) – 7 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Nevada 32, Oregon State 31

Middle Tennessee (1-1) @ #3Georgia (2-0) – 7:15 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Georgia 44, Middle Tennessee 16

Louisiana (1-0) @ #16Mississippi State (2-0) – 7:30 PM ET, SEC Network Alternate

Prediction: Mississippi State 47, Louisiana 15

UL Monroe (2-0) @ Texas A&M (1-1) – 7:30 PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: Texas A&M 42, UL Monroe 20

Western Kentucky (0-2) @ Louisville (1-1) – 7:30 PM ET, ACC RSN

Prediction: Louisville 37, Western Kentucky 20 <- BEST BET ALERT

UMass (1-2) @ Florida Intl (1-1) – 7:30 PM ET, beIN Sports

Prediction: Florida Intl 29, UMass 28

Akron (1-0) @ Northwestern (1-1) – 7:30 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Northwestern 33, Akron 16

New Mexico (1-1) @ New Mexico State (0-3) – 8 PM ET, Eleven Sports

Prediction: New Mexico 27, New Mexico State 21

Tier Four Games (FBS vs FCS)

Campbell @ Coastal Carolina (1-1) – 2 PM ET on Wednesday 9/12, ESPN3

Prediction: Coastal Carolina

Tennessee Tech @ Utah State (1-1) – 8 PM ET on Thursday, 9/13, MWC Facebook

Prediction: Utah State

Rhode Island @ UConn (0-2) – 12 PM ET, SNY or ESPN3

Prediction: UConn

Murray State @ Kentucky (2-0) – 12 PM ET, SEC Network Alternate

Prediction: Kentucky

UC Davis @ #9Stanford (2-0) – 2 PM ET, PAC-12 Network

Prediction: Stanford

Lehigh @ Navy (1-1) – 3:30 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: Navy

Wofford @ Wyoming (1-2) – 4 PM ET, Stadium

Prediction: Wyoming

Eastern Kentucky @ Bowling Green (0-2) – 4 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Bowling Green

New Hampshire @ Colorado (2-0) – 5 PM ET, PAC-12 Network

Prediction: Colorado

Idaho State @ California (2-0) – 6 PM ET, PAC-12 Network

Prediction: California

Norfolk State @ Liberty (1-1) – 6 PM ET, ESPN3

CANCELLED

Bethune-Cookman @ Florida Atlantic (1-1) – 6 PM ET, Stadium

Prediction: Florida Atlantic

Alabama A&M @ Cincinnati (2-0) – 7 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Cincinnati

Delaware State @ Western Michigan (0-2) – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Western Michigan

Northern Iowa @ Iowa (2-0) – 7:30 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Iowa

Eastern Washington @ Washington State (2-0) – 8 PM ET, PAC-12 Network

Prediction: Washington State

Prairie View @ UNLV (1-1) – 10 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: UNLV

Southern Utah @ Arizona (0-2) – 11 PM ET, PAC-12 Network

Prediction: Arizona

Week Two Predictions

This Week’s ATS Best Bets

Army (-7.5) vs Liberty – 12 PM ET
Eastern Michigan (+17) @ Purdue – 12 PM ET
Southern Mississippi (-5.5) vs UL Monroe – 7 PM ET
Florida Intl (+2) @ Old Dominion – 7:30 PM ET
USC (+6) @ Stanford – 8:30 PM ET

Note: All Top 25 rankings are the current AP, you can see my computer rankings here

Tier One Games (Must-Watch)

#3Georgia (1-0) @ #24South Carolina (1-0) – 3:30 PM ET, CBS

Georgia and South Carolina both beat up on lesser opponents last week, for Georgia, it was a 45-0 drubbing of Austin Peay, and for USC, who actually did face an FBS opponent, the Gamecocks had no trouble with Coastal Carolina, dominating from start to finish en route to a 49-15 victory. I don’t expect either team to hang 40 on the other, in fact, despite two high powered up tempo offenses, I see this one being more of a defensive minded game, at least from the Georgia side as the Dawgs will have to find a way to contain South Carolina on the road. Georgia gets vertical threat Terry Godwin back from injury, and I just don’t have enough confidence in Jake Bently to keep up with a Georgia offense that features the blinding duo of Demetris Robertson and D’Andre Swift at running back. I expect Georgia to shock some people and control this one from start to finish, establishing themselves as national title contenders.

Prediction: Georgia 29, South Carolina 16

#2Clemson (1-0) @ Texas A&M (1-0) – 7 PM ET, ESPN

Both of these teams destroyed FCS opponents last week (Furman and Northwestern State), by a combined score of 107-14. This week’s game will be very storyline driven, as former Florida State head coach Jimbo Fisher faces as arch rival, Dabo Swinney once again despite now being at a new school. A&M had over 500 rushing yards alone last week, but I don’t see the Aggies quite running over the Tiger’s front four like they did Northwestern State’s. This Clemson D-Line may be the best position group in all of college football, and I see it shredding the Aggies’ offensive line, putting a lot of pressure on Kellen Mond and/or Nick Starkel, and leading the Tigers to a smooth victory on the road as Jimbo continues to struggle with Clemson.

Prediction: Clemson 29, Texas A&M 13

#17USC (1-0) @ #10Stanford (1-0) – 8:30 PM ET, FOX

The game of the week is a rematch of last season’s Pac-12 Championship Game (a USC victory, the Trojans also beat Stanford in the regular season last year) as the national spotlight will be on the Pac-12. Both teams picked up wins over Mountain West opponents last week, Stanford with a 31-10 win over San Diego State, and USC with a 43-21 win over UNLV that was a lot closer than that score indicates. Despite the tough loss, San Diego State held Stanford to 1.8 YPA on the ground, holding Heisman contender Bryce Love to just 29 total rushing yards. If USC can employ the same tactics that the Aztecs did, essentially selling out their secondary and forcing the Cardinal to beat them through the air, I have a lot more faith in the Trojan secondary to bail them out. I see a lot of potential in USC QB JT Daniels, and I expect him to progress a ton as he learns from his week one mistakes. I’ve got USC going on the road and picking up a big conference win.

Prediction: USC 29, Stanford 28 <- UPSET ALERT & BEST BET ALERT

Tier Two Games (Maybe-Watch)

#16TCU (1-0) @ SMU (0-1) – 8 PM ET on Friday 9/7, ESPN2

Prediction: TCU 38, SMU 18

#18Mississippi State (1-0) @ Kansas State (1-0) – 12 PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: Mississippi State 30, Kansas State 23

Arizona (0-1) @ Houston (1-0) – 12 PM ET, ABC or ESPN2

Prediction: Arizona 35, Houston 34 <- UPSET ALERT

Duke (1-0) @ Northwestern (1-0) – 12 PM ET, ESPNU

Prediction: Northwestern 26, Duke 19

Georgia Tech (1-0) @ South Florida (1-0) – 12 PM ET, ABC or ESPN2

Prediction: South Florida 26, Georgia Tech 25 <- UPSET ALERT

UCLA (0-1) @ #6Oklahoma (1-0) – 1 PM ET, FOX

Prediction: Oklahoma 45, UCLA 13

Arkansas State (1-0) @ #1Alabama (1-0) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN2

Prediction: Alabama 41, Arkansas State 14

Rutgers (1-0) @ #4Ohio State (1-0) – 3:30 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Ohio State 42, Rutgers 10

Colorado (1-0) @ Nebraska – 3:30 PM ET, ABC

Prediction: Nebraska 25, Colorado 24

Iowa State @ Iowa (1-0) – 5 PM ET, FOX

Prediction: Iowa 21, Iowa State 16

Maryland (1-0) @ Bowling Green (0-1) – 6 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Maryland 30, Bowling Green 20

Kentucky (1-0) @ #25Florida (1-0) – 7:30 PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: Florida 29, Kentucky 18

Utah (1-0) @ Northern Illinois (0-1) – 7:30 PM ET, ESPN News

Prediction: Utah 28, Northern Illinois 22

Fresno State (1-0) @ Minnesota (1-0) – 7:30 PM ET, FS1

Prediction: Fresno State 28, Minnesota 21 <- UPSET ALERT

#13Penn State (1-0) @ Pittsburgh (1-0) – 8 PM ET, ABC

Prediction: Penn State 34, Pittsburgh 25

Cincinnati (1-0) vs Miami (OH) (0-1) in Cincinnati, OH – 8 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Miami (OH) 27, Cincinnati 24

California (1-0) @ BYU (1-0) – 10:15 PM ET, ESPN2 or ESPNU

Prediction: BYU 25, California 21

#15Michigan State (1-0) @ Arizona State (1-0) – 10:45 PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: Michigan State 30, Arizona State 28

Tier Three Games (FBS vs FBS)

New Mexico (1-0) @ #5Wisconsin (1-0) – 12 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Wisconsin 43, New Mexico 10

Western Michigan (0-1) @ #21Michigan (0-1) – 12 PM ET, FS1

Prediction: Michigan 34, Western Michigan 14

Eastern Michigan (1-0) @ Purdue (0-1) – 12 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Purdue 33, Eastern Michigan 21 <- BEST BET ALERT

Liberty (1-0) @ Army (0-1) – 12 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: Army 31, Liberty 17 <- BEST BET ALERT

Nevada (1-0) @ Vanderbilt (1-0) – 12 PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: Vanderbilt 28, Nevada 20

Georgia State (1-0) @ NC State – 12:30 PM ET, ACC RSN

Prediction: NC State 32, Georgia State 12

Air Force (1-0) @ Florida Atlantic – 2 PM ET, Facebook

Prediction: Florida Atlantic 33, Air Force 20

Kansas (0-1) @ Central Michigan – 3 PM, ESPN+

Prediction: Central Michigan 22, Kansas 14

Ball State (1-0) @ #8Notre Dame (1-0) – 3:30 PM ET, NBC

Predection: Notre Dame 39, Ball State 8

Buffalo (1-0) @ Temple (0-1) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Temple 27, Buffalo 23

Memphis (1-0) @ Navy (0-1) – 3:30 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: Memphis 34, Navy 28

North Carolina (0-1) @ East Carolina (0-1) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPNU

Prediction: North Carolina 32, East Carolina 22

UMass (1-1) @ Georgia Southern (1-0) – 6 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: UMass 25, Georgia Southern 23 <- UPSET ALERT

Appalachian State (0-1) @ Charlotte (1-0) – 6 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Appalachian State 31, Charlotte 11

UL Monroe (1-0) @ Southern Mississippi (1-0) – 7 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Southern Mississippi 40, UL Monroe 28 <-BEST BET ALERT

UAB (1-0) @ Coastal Carolina (0-1) – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: UAB 33, Coastal Carolina 21

Baylor (1-0) @ UTSA (0-1) – 7 PM ET, Facebook

Prediction: Baylor 27, UTSA 19

Wyoming (1-1) @ Missouri (1-0) – 7 PM ET, ESPN2 or ESPNU

Prediction: Missouri 30, Wyoming 15

Virginia (1-0) @ Indiana (1-0) – 7:30 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Indiana 26, Virginia 21

Arkansas (1-0) @ Colorado State (0-2) – 7:30 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: Arkansas 38, Colorado State 32

Florida Intl (0-1) @ Old Dominion (0-1) – 7:30 PM ET, beIN Sports

Prediction: Florida Intl 29, Old Dominion 24 <- UPSET ALERT & BEST BET ALERT

Tulsa (1-0) @ Texas – 8 PM ET, LHN

Prediction: Texas 39, Tulsa 16

New Mexico State (0-2) @ Utah State (0-1) – 8 PM ET, MWC Facebook

Prediction: Utah State 37, New Mexico State 18

South Alabama (0-1) @ Oklahoma State (1-0) – 8 PM ET, FSN

Prediction: Oklahoma State 47, South Alabama 18

UTEP (0-1) @ UNLV (0-1) – 9 PM ET, AT&T Sports Network

Prediction: UNLV 35, UTEP 14

UConn (0-1) @ #20Boise State (1-0) – 10:15 PM ET, ESPN2 or ESPNU

Prediction: Boise State 47, UConn 14

San Jose State (0-1) @ Washington State (1-0) – 11 PM ET, PAC-12 Network

Prediction: Washington State 44, San Jose State 13

Rice (1-1) @ Hawai’i (2-0) – 11:59 PM ET, Stadium

Prediction: Hawai’i 41, Rice 26

Tier Four Games (FBS vs FCS)

Towson @ Wake Forest (1-0) – 12 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Wake Forest

Holy Cross @ Boston College (1-0) – 1 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Boston College

William & Mary @ #12Virginia Tech (1-0) – 2 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Virginia Tech

Portland State @ #23Oregon (1-0) – 2 PM ET, PAC-12 Network

Prediction: Oregon

Wagner @ Syracuse (1-0) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Syracuse

Howard @ Kent State (0-1) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Kent State

Morgan State @ Akron – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Akron

Lamar @ Texas Tech (0-1) – 4 PM ET, FSN

Prediction: Texas Tech

Southern Illinois @ Ole Miss (1-0) – 4 PM ET, SEC Network Alternate

Prediction: Ole Miss

East Tennessee State @ Tennessee (0-1) – 4 PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: Tennessee

North Dakota @ #9Washington (0-1) – 5 PM ET, PAC-12 Network

Prediction: Washington

Savannah State @ #22Miami (0-1) – 6 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Miami

Youngstown State @ #14West Virginia (1-0) – 6 PM ET, AT&T Sports Network

Prediction: West Virginia

South Carolina State @ #19UCF (1-0) – 6 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: UCF

Eastern Kentucky @ Marshall (1-0) – 6:30 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Marshall

Southeastern Louisiana @ #11LSU (1-0) – 7 PM ET, ESPN2 or ESPNU

Prediction: LSU

UT Martin @ Middle Tennessee (0-1) – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Middle Tennessee

Southern @ Louisiana Tech (1-0) – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Louisiana Tech

Indiana State @ Louisville (0-1) – 7 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Louisville

Texas Southern @ Texas State (0-1) – 7 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Texas State

Florida A&M @ Troy (0-1) – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Troy

Samford @ Florida State (0-1) – 7:20 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Florida State

Alabama State @ #7Auburn (1-0) – 7:30 PM ET, SEC Network Alternate

Prediction: Auburn

Western Illinois @ Illinois (1-0) – 7:30 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Illinois

Maine @ Western Kentucky (0-1) – 7:30 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Western Kentuckyol

Incarnate Word @ North Texas (1-0) – 7:30 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: North Texas

Nicholls @ Tulane (0-1) – 8 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Tulane

Southern Utah @ Oregon State (0-1) – 8 PM ET, PAC-12 Network

Prediction: Oregon State

Sacremento State @ San Diego State (0-1) – 9 PM ET

Prediction: San Diego State

Week One Predictions

This Week’s ATS Best Bets

Army (+13.5) @ Duke – 7 PM ET on Friday, 8/31
Western Kentucky (+36.5) @ Wisconsin – 9 PM ET on Friday, 8/31
San Diego State (+14.5) @ Stanford – 9 PM ET on Friday, 8/31
Maryland (+13.5) vs* Texas – 12 PM ET
Florida Atlantic (+21) @ Oklahoma – 12 PM ET
Appalachian State (+24) @ Penn State – 3:30 PM ET
Central Michigan (+17) @ Kentucky – 3:30 PM ET
Marshall (+2.5) @ Miami (OH) – 3:30 PM ET
UTSA (+18.5) @ Arizona State – 10:30 PM ET
Hawai’i (+14) vs Navy – 11 PM ET

Note: All Top 25 rankings are the current AP, you can see my preseason rankings here

Tier One Games (Must-Watch)

Florida Atlantic @ #7Oklahoma – 12 PM ET, FOX

The Florida Atlantic Owls come into this game riding on a ten game winning streak, one of the longest in the country. This is a game that many college football fans have had circled on their calendar all summer as Lane Kiffin gets a chance to make a statement on national TV against a preseason top ten team. This will be a battle of two of the best running games in the country. FAU halfback Devin Singletary (1,918 yards, 32 touchdowns, 6.4 YPA) was one of the best in the nation last year, but Oklahoma’s top rusher Rodney Anderson (1,161 yards, 13 touchdowns, 6.2 YPA) will step into an even bigger role with the departure of QB Baker Mayfield. Overall, I expect the depth and the talent in the trenches for Oklahoma to overpower Kiffin’s owls, but I think this game will be a lot closer than many expect.

Prediction: Oklahoma 43, Florida Atlantic 33 <- BEST BET ALERT

#6Washington vs #9Auburn in Atlanta, GA – 3:30 PM ET, ABC

Both teams need this win after disappointing ends to last year, both came up short in New Year’s Six bowl losses. The Tiger defense will still be one of the best in the country despite some key losses, but Washington’s offense can say the same thing. Myles Gaskin is back at running back after three straight 1,000 + yard seasons, as is the majority of his offensive line. QB Jake Browning will look to return to his 2016 form after taking a step back in 2017, and the key to that will be how his top wideout, Chico McClatcher comes back from his injury last year. The Washington defense might actually be the best unit in this game, and I see the brutal secondary shutting down Jarrett Stidham. I’m calling for Washington to go into SEC country and get a huge win for the PAC-12 conference as a whole.

Prediction: Washington 30, Auburn 29 <- UPSET ALERT

#14Michigan @ #12Notre Dame – 7:30 PM ET, NBC

For the first time since 2014, the Michigan vs Notre Dame rivalry is back. I’m quite honestly shocked Michigan is a favorite here, I have Notre Dame ranked higher (as does the AP) and the Fighting Irish are taking this game at home. Both of these teams are fringe playoff contenders with tough schedules, so a loss may send their season spiraling out of control. I like Michigan’s defense a lot, but Notre Dame’s D is tremendous too, led by LB Te’Von Coney and CB Julian Love. I’m also more confident about Notre Dame’s quarterback situation, something I don’t say often. Shea Patterson went down with an injury last year at Ole Miss and his backup lapped him, leading to his transfer, making me quite skeptical on how he’ll do in a new system against one of the best defenses in the nation. I’ve got the Irish picking up a close win in a low scoring game, putting Jim Harbaugh in a tough spot.

Prediction: Notre Dame 24, Michigan 23 <- UPSET ALERT

Louisville vs #1Alabama in Orlando, FL – 8 PM ET, ABC

Alabama seems to always murder teams in these week one showcases, so if you’re Louisville, you have to come out swinging. Lamar Jackson may be gone, but his replacement, Jawon “Puma” Pass, is going to have to step up big and go right after an Alabama secondary that loses Ronnie Harrison and Minkah Fitzpatrick. If we’re being honest though, this is going to be 35-10 at the half. We’ll get to see both Jalen Hurts and Tua Tagovailoa, and while I think Tua will be the starter, don’t be surprised if Hurts shocks you and has the better game, he’s been in the system for longer and is used to the big stage. A Louisville win however, would shock me.

Prediction: Alabama 41, Louisville 20

#8Miami vs #25LSU in Arlington, TX – 7:30 PM ET on Sunday 9/2, ABC

Washington-Auburn is probably the biggest game of the week, but this might be the most interesting to me. I’m lower on Miami than most, higher on LSU than most, and the Tigers should have the benefit of some sort of home field edge in Arlington. Miami may have the turnover chain, but I would probably point to the LSU defense as the best in this game, LB Devin White and DB Greedy Williams are both All-American contenders, and I would not be shocked if we saw Miami take a big step back on defense as we normally do see after a big turnover margin year. LSU QB Joe Burrow, an Ohio State transfer, is going to make the world know his name, and all the people that left LSU out of their preseason top 25’s are going to regret it.

Prediction: LSU 27, Miami 25 <- UPSET ALERT

#20Virginia Tech @ #19Florida State – 8 PM ET on Monday 9/3, ESPN

These are two teams that I’m almost in perfect agreement with the AP on, I have FSU at 20, and VT at 21. Florida State was a team with real national title hopes last year, and while the coach is new after a disappointing year, much of the talent remains. With the home crowd and the national spotlight on Tallahassee, the narrative will be all set up for the ‘Noles to take their rightful place back at the top of college football, but then they will run into the Virginia Tech special, Bud Foster’s defense. Tech loses a lot, including maybe my favorite player in all of college football last year, Tremaine Edmunds, and they’ve also dealt with a lot of injuries over the summer, but this Hokie team will control the game, and I as I said in my team preview, the Hokies could return zero starters and I would never doubt Bud Foster. I see the Hokies keeping FSU under 30, but the problem will come on offense for Justin Fuente and company. The ‘Noles will edge out a Tech offense that will struggle to score against a defense loaded with five stars for FSU, but it will be a lot closer than many think.

Prediction: Florida State 26, Virginia Tech 23

Tier Two Games (Maybe-Watch)

Northwestern @ Purdue – 8 PM ET on Thursday 8/30, ESPN

Prediction: Northwestern 25, Purdue 24 <- UPSET ALERT

Wake Forest @ Tulane – 8 PM ET on Thursday 8/30, CBSSN

Prediction: Wake Forest 31, Tulane 23

Army @ Duke – 7 PM ET on Friday 8/31, ESPNU

Prediction: Duke 25, Army 22 <- BEST BET ALERT

San Diego State @ #13Stanford – 9 PM ET on Friday 8/31, FS1

Prediction: Stanford 28, San Diego State 22 <- BEST BET ALERT

#23Texas vs Maryland in Landover, MD – 12 PM ET, FS1

Prediction: Texas 31, Maryland 23 <- BEST BET ALERT

Ole Miss vs Texas Tech in Houston, TX – 12 PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: Texas Tech 39, Ole Miss 36

Appalachian State @ #10Penn State – 3:30 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Penn State 37, Appalachian State 20 <- BEST BET ALERT

Tennessee vs #17West Virginia in Charlotte, NC – 3:30 PM ET, CBS

Prediction: West Virginia 31, Tennessee 22

Marshall @ Miami (OH) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Marshall 30, Miami (OH) 27 <- BEST BET ALERT & UPSET ALERT

Northern Illinois @ Iowa – 3:30 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Iowa 27, Northern Illinois 20

Washington State @ Wyoming (1-0) – 3:30 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: Wyoming 23, Washington State 22 <- UPSET ALERT

North Carolina @ California – 4 PM ET, FOX

Prediction: California 30, North Carolina 25

#22Boise State @ Troy – 6 PM ET, ESPN News

Prediction: Boise State 31, Troy 23

Middle Tennessee @ Vanderbilt – 7:30 PM ET, SEC Network Alternate

Prediction: Vanderbilt 25, Middle Tennessee 24

Tier Three Games (FBS vs FBS)

#21UCF @ UConn – 7 PM ET on Thursday 8/30, ESPNU

Prediction: UCF 47, UConn 21

New Mexico State (0-1) @ Minnesota – 7 PM ET on Thursday 8/30, BTN

Prediction: Minnesota 30, New Mexico State 19

Syracuse @ Western Michigan – 6 PM ET on Friday 8/31, CBSSN

Prediction: Western Michigan 32, Syracuse 28 <- UPSET ALERT

Utah State @ #11Michigan State – 7 PM ET on Friday 8/31, BTN

Prediction: Michigan State 34, Utah State 15

Western Kentucky @ #4Wisconsin – 9 PM ET on Friday 8/31, ESPN

Prediction: Wisconsin 39, Western Kentucky 13 <- BEST BET ALERT

Colorado vs Colorado State (0-1) in Denver, CO – 9:30 PM ET on Friday 8/31, CBSSN

Prediction: Colorado 37, Colorado State 28

Oregon State @ #5Ohio State – 12 PM ET, ABC

Prediction: Ohio State 52, Oregon State 10

Kent State @ Illinois – 12 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Illinois 26, Kent State 12

Texas State @ Rutgers – 12 PM ET, BTN

Prediction: Rutgers 28, Texas State 15

Coastal Carolina @ South Carolina – 12 PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: South Carolina 38, Coastal Carolina 12

Houston @ Rice (1-0) – 12 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: Houston 38, Rice 17

UMass (1-0) @ Boston College – 1 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Boston College 37, UMass 22

Central Michigan @ Kentucky – 3:30 PM ET, ESPNU

Prediction: Kentucky 28, Central Michigan 19 <- BEST BET ALERT

UNLV @ #15USC – 4 PM ET, PAC-12 Network

Prediction: USC 43, UNLV 18

Old Dominion @ Liberty – 6 PM ET, TBA

Prediction: Old Dominion 30, Liberty 29

Louisiana Tech @ South Alabama – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Louisiana Tech 34, South Alabama 23

Cincinnati @ UCLA – 7 PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: UCLA 35, Cincinnati 22

Indiana @ Florida Intl – 7 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: Indiana 36, Florida Intl 24

SMU @ North Texas – 7:30 PM ET, Stadium

Prediction: North Texas 40, SMU 37

Bowling Green @ #24Oregon – 8 PM ET, PAC-12 Network

Prediction: Oregon 44, Bowling Green 19

Akron @ Nebraska – 8 PM ET, FOX

Prediction: Nebraska 34, Akron 18

UTSA @ Arizona State – 10:30 PM ET, FS1

Prediction: Arizona State 30, UTSA 23 <- BEST BET ALERT

BYU @ Arizona – 10:45 PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: Arizona 38, BYU 22

Navy @ Hawai’i (1-0) – 11 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: Navy 36, Hawai’i 27 <- BEST BET ALERT

Tier Four Games (FBS vs FCS)

Central Connecticut @ Ball State – 7 PM ET on Thursday 8/30, ESPN+

Prediction: Ball State

Kennesaw State @ Georgia State – 7 PM ET on Thursday 8/30, ESPN+

Prediction: Georgia State

Southeastern Louisiana @ UL Monroe – 8 PM ET on Thursday 8/30, ESPN+

Prediction: UL Monroe

Savannah State @ UAB – 8 PM ET on Thursday 8/30, ESPN+

Prediction: UAB

Missouri State @ Oklahoma State – 8 PM ET on Thursday 8/30, FS1

Prediction: Oklahoma State

Weber State @ Utah – 8 PM ET on Thursday 8/30, PAC-12 Network

Prediction: Utah

Northwestern State @ Texas A&M – 8:30 PM ET on Thursday 8/30, SEC Network

Prediction: Texas A&M

UC Davis @ San Jose State – 10 PM ET on Thursday 8/30, TBA

Prediction: San Jose State

Monmouth @ Eastern Michigan – 6:30 PM ET on Friday 8/31, ESPN+

Prediction: Eastern Michigan

Portland State @ Nevada – 9 PM ET on Friday 8/31, Stadium

Prediction: Nevada

Southern @ #16TCU – 12 PM ET, FSN

Prediction: TCU

James Madison @ NC State – 12 PM ET, ESPNU

Prediction: NC State

Villanova @ Temple – 12 PM ET, ESPN News

Prediction: Temple

Furman @ #2Clemson – 12:20 PM ET, ACC Network

Prediction: Clemson

Alcorn State @ Georgia Tech – 12:30 PM ET, ACC RSN

Prediction: Georgia Tech

Stony Brook @ Air Force – 2 PM ET, MWC Facebook

Prediction: Air Force

Howard @ Ohio – 2 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Ohio

Austin Peay @ #3Georgia – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN

Prediction: Georgia

Albany @ Pittsburgh – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Pittsburgh

UT Martin @ Missouri – 4 PM ET, SEC Network Alternate

Prediction: Missouri

Eastern Illinois @ Arkansas – 4 PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: Arkansas

Fordham @ Charlotte – 6 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Charlotte

North Carolina A&T @ East Carolina – 6 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: East Carolina

Elon @ South Florida – 6 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: South Florida

Richmond @ Virginia – 6 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Virginia

Deleware State @ Buffalo – 6 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Buffalo

South Carolina State @ Georgia Southern – 6 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Georgia Southern

Grambling @ Louisiana – 7 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Louisiana

VMI @ Toledo – 7 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Toledo

Southeast Missouri State @ Arkansas State – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Arkansas State

Mercer @ Memphis – 7 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Memphis

Central Arkansas @ Tulsa – 7 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Tulsa

Jackson State @ Southern Mississippi – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Southern Mississippi

Nicholls @ Kansas – 7 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Kansas

South Dakota @ Kansas State – 7 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Kansas State

Stephen F. Austin @ #18Mississippi State – 7:30 PM ET, ESPNU

Prediction: Mississippi State

Charleston Southern @ Florida – 7:30 PM ET, SEC Network

Prediction: Florida

Northern Arizona @ UTEP – 7:30 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: Northern Arizona <- UPSET ALERT

Abilene Christian @ Baylor – 8 PM ET, FSN

Prediction: Baylor

South Dakota State @ Iowa State – 8 PM ET, Cyclones.TV

Prediction: Iowa State

Incarnate Word @ New Mexico – 8 PM ET, ESPN3

Prediction: New Mexico

Idaho @ Fresno State – 10 PM ET, MWC Facebook

Prediction: Fresno State

Week Zero Predictions

This Week’s ATS Best Bets

None for this week.

Tier One Games (Must-Watch)

None for this week.

Tier Two Games (Maybe-Watch)

None for this week.

Tier Three Games (FBS vs FBS)

Hawai’i @ Colorado State – 7:30 PM ET, CBSSN

Prediction: Colorado State 43, Hawai’i 27

Wyoming @ New Mexico State – 10 PM ET, ESPN2

Prediction: Wyoming 27, New Mexico State 20

Tier Four Games (FBS vs FCS)

Duquesne @ Umass – 5:30 PM ET, Eleven Sports

Prediction: UMass

Prairie View @ Rice – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

Prediction: Rice

One Comment

  1. lester j berlin

    August 21, 2018 at 10:19 pm

    Looking forward to your predictions. You had a good ride last year.

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